Justin’s note: The cryptocurrency market is on a tear, and bitcoin is leading the charge – up 110% since April.
Yesterday, we turned to world-renowned crypto expert Teeka Tiwari, who told us that this is just the beginning. And that bitcoin won’t be the only winner of the crypto rally.
Today, Teeka shares two more reasons why “Crypto Winter” is over… and why the biggest gains are yet to come.
If you haven’t yet, now’s the time to take advantage… before it’s too late…
By Teeka Tiwari, editor, Palm Beach Confidential
After almost 18 months, “Crypto Winter” appears to be finally loosening its grip over the market.
That’s why, on April 10, I sent out an update to my Palm Beach Confidential readers. Here’s what I said…
Bitcoin is probably going to go anywhere from $6,000 to $7,000 before it has a little bit of a pullback to kind of consolidate that move. And then, it’ll be off to the races again.
And you know as well as I do, anything that’s good for bitcoin is good for the broad market.
A lot of the smaller names that we own will move much further than bitcoin will move. So another 30% move higher in bitcoin could be a 300%, 400%, or 500% higher move in some of these smaller names.
Since then, bitcoin is up 64%. It’s trading around $8,700 at writing. And the broad crypto market is up 52%.
But as I’ll show you in today’s issue, it’s not too late to get in…
A Mirror Image
To understand why, let’s look at the last major bear market we had, before the most recent Crypto Winter.
That was back in 2013 when bitcoin peaked around $1,200. Then it went on a massive, almost two-year-long bear market.
You can see that it went down to about $175 in January 2015. That’s an 85% plunge.
But then, we started to see the bottom finally come into place. And in late 2015, we got a massive move up.
Now, let’s compare that to a recent chart of bitcoin. You can see the peak in December 2017 in the chart below. And the red circle is where we are now.
If you look at the first chart again, in 2015, the selling was finally over. Buyers came in, and they spiked bitcoin up to a level that you hadn’t seen in months.
Now look at the second chart. That move up since April is a mirror image of what we saw back in 2015, when the bear market was finally over.
But it’s not the only reason I believe prices are headed higher…
The Downtrend Is Finally Broken
The second is that the downtrend bitcoin has been in since last year is finally broken.
When you break a long-term downtrend, the overall trend switches from bearish to bullish.
And the way you make money from that is by taking advantage of each pullback.
The pullbacks we’ve experienced in the last 18 months were making lower lows and lower highs. What will now happen is that when bitcoin prices fall back, they will make higher lows.
Now, of course we don’t know that 100% until we see that next wave of selling come in.
But if history is any guide, it suggests we are going to break out to a new level, and then come back a little bit. And then, we will see another resurgence of prices.
I’ve been waiting for that downtrend line to be broken… and for a major move that indicates that buyers are starting to get impatient. And that’s exactly what we’ve seen take place over the last couple of weeks.
Making Sure We’re Prepared
Does this mean we’re never going to have volatility again? No. Of course not.
What it does mean is that we will see a series of higher lows and higher highs – the definition of the beginning of a new uptrend.
Given the recent surge in volume and interest we’ve seen in cryptos, a shock of good news could completely change the game.
Then, it would be like 2017 all over again. And I want to make sure we’re prepared for it.
Just remember, you only need to take a small stake for the potential of life-changing gains. So position-size rationally when you’re buying cryptos… and continue to be patient.
We are at the very beginning of a new uptrend in crypto prices, and it’s going to be wild. It’s going to be much bigger than what we’ve seen before.
Let the Game Come to You!
Editor, Palm Beach Confidential
Justin’s note: Last night, Teeka went live on camera for the first time this year… and answered all your questions about the crypto market.
As part of the Q&A, he took a deep dive into bitcoin and the crypto world… and explained why he’s excited for the second half of 2019.
His most important takeaway: If you want to get involved in the crypto space… the time is now.
Enjoyed the narrative. I have been to Mexico City and stayed at the Four Seasons. I was there to work. Had one day off and went for a walk down Reforma Boulevard. It has a very European feeling. Lovely stores: Gucci, Louis Vuitton, Escada, etc. Had a sandwich at Sanborns. People are very attentive to your needs. Thank you for your enthusiastic column on Mexico.
The article on G4 Tequila production was fantastic. I grew up in Kentucky with a ‘shine-making family. I certainly appreciate the details!
I really enjoyed the article. It was nice to deviate from the normal run-of-the-mill to something that was new and different.
And our audience is still divided over Doug Casey’s thoughts on the conflict with Iran:
You say Iran is a danger to no one. I say, “Baloney!” If Iran is allowed to build nuclear weapons, it is the country most likely to use them. It already supplies munitions and logistics to terrorists, so what would restrain it from providing compact nuclear weapons that could be delivered in a truck or boat? Detonating one in New York Harbor would dwarf 9/11. We can’t allow it to become a nuclear state!
Good piece, Doug, and one with which I agree totally. Now an old fart over halfway through his eighth decade, I can testify that the economic distortions we’re seeing now are the most extreme in my lifetime, and that includes those in the nightmarish Carter years during which we had both wild inflation and record interest rates.
Sadly, when the crap hits the fan it will occur on the Donald’s watch and he’ll get the blame. Just as Herbert Hoover got the blame for the Great Depression, when the real villain was the incompetent and almost cartoonish FDR, who also managed to get us involved in WWII by cutting off all oil and scrap iron supplies to Japan on which it depended heavily. But he got the war he wanted, albeit at the cost of most of our Pacific Fleet and the lives of roughly 2,500 sailors, soldiers, and Marines. Always enjoy your pieces.
As always, send your comments, questions, and concerns to [email protected].
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