By Nick Giambruno, chief analyst, The Casey Report
“The U.S. needs a digital dollar… The U.S. dollar has to keep earning that place in the global payments system. It has to be better than Bitcoin… it has to be better than a digital yuan.”
These are the words of Senator Tom Cotton during a recent Senate Banking Committee meeting discussing the “Digital Dollar.”
Regular readers are well aware of the elites’ desire to move away from physical cash and towards a Digital Dollar.
In March, Congress made it explicit. That’s when the Digital Dollar first appeared in a bill that Nancy Pelosi introduced.
The idea was for the Federal Reserve to create and manage a centralized digital currency to facilitate COVID-19 stimulus payments. Every US resident was to get a Digital Dollar Wallet that they could manage on their phone and which the Fed could deposit stimulus money into.
While the Digital Dollar provision didn’t make it in the final version of this bill, it has reappeared in other legislation and in the recent Senate Banking Committee meeting. Further, the Fed announced in August it is working with the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) to implement a Digital Dollar.
It’s clear there is an effort by some of the most powerful people in the world to bring about a cashless society.
A Digital Dollar is coming – and soon.
Most legislation references January 1, 2021, as the day to implement a Digital Dollar.
Does that also mean the government will eliminate all physical cash by then, or shortly after?
The truth is we can’t know for sure what it’ll do. But we can follow the trends and connect the dots to make a reasonable conclusion.
We know politicians never let a crisis go to waste, and there will be no shortage of potential crises between now and then.
On the one hand, they could make a surprise move to eliminate – or severely restrict – the use of cash. It already happened in India, which successfully banned most large denomination bills in a surprise overnight move back in 2016. Many observers viewed this event as a trial balloon in case governments in Western countries decided to do the same.
On the other hand, the CIA and the US government itself use the anonymity of physical cash to fund nefarious activities worldwide. Would they want that to end?
If I had to make a guess, I would say there is a greater chance we are moving towards a Digital Dollar, and a cashless society, than not.
If that were to happen, the government would have complete knowledge of – and control over – every transaction you make. If you’re disobedient, it would be able to turn off your ability to transact at the push of a button, or it could charge your account.
At that point, governments will have almost unbreakable control over the individual. Further, they’d be able to redistribute the country’s wealth any way they saw fit.
In short, the Digital Dollar would enable a cashless society, which is a totalitarian’s dream. It’s precisely the opposite of how a free society should work.
We can already see how they intend to sell it to the public.
They’ll claim that they want to give you “free” COVID stimulus money, and they need a Digital Dollar to help them do it.
After all, many people who were supposed to receive stimulus checks earlier this year did not, and the government sent up to $1.4 billion to dead people. The government claims it needs a Digital Dollar so it can more efficiently distribute this money.
Who will turn down a “free” $2,000 per month, as the latest Digital Dollar legislation calls for?
The truth is, once people become accustomed to receiving money from the government, it will be politically impossible to slow down, much less stop.
Don’t be fooled by the supposed free money.
It’s like the cheese in a mousetrap. It’s there to entice you into accepting the Digital Dollar and cashless society, and all the horrible things that go with it.
What Comes Next
A Digital Dollar is coming soon – probably sometime in 2021 – and there’s nothing we can do about it.
Here’s the bottom line. Despite all the hype, a Digital Dollar is nothing but the same fiat money scam with a new label on it. It’s old wine in new bottles.
It will make it even easier for the government to inflate the currency and impose deeply negative interest rates, which are really just a euphemism for a tax on saving money.
Thanks to the Digital Dollar scam, the government will have a new powerful tool to confiscate and redistribute wealth. It would be foolish to expect the government not to use it that way. So, we can expect much more inflation in the future.
There are a lot of bad things that come with a Digital Dollar. But there is a silver lining.
A Digital Dollar is going to introduce and familiarize millions of Americans on using digital currencies. It’s only then a matter of time before they discover Bitcoin.
Remember, Senator Cotton said a Digital Dollar “has to be better than Bitcoin.”
Notice Senator Cotton didn’t mention other cryptocurrencies, just Bitcoin. It’s an explicit recognition of Bitcoin’s superior monetary properties, which Cotton correctly thinks threatens the dollar.
A Digital Dollar and Bitcoin share some characteristics. They are both digital and facilitate fast payments from a mobile phone. But that is where the similarities end.
The reality is that a Digital Dollar and Bitcoin are entirely different in the most fundamental ways.
You need the US government’s permission and blessing to use the Digital Dollar. Bitcoin is permissionless.
The US government can (and will) create as many Digital Dollar currency units as it wants. There can never be more than 21 million Bitcoins, and there is nothing anyone can do to inflate the supply more than the predetermined amount in the protocol.
The Digital Dollar is centralized. Bitcoin is decentralized.
The US government can censor transactions, freeze, sanction, and confiscate Digital Dollars whenever it wants for whatever reason. Bitcoin is censorship-resistant. No country’s sanctions or laws can affect it.
There is no privacy with the Digital Dollar. If you take certain steps, it is possible to maintain privacy with Bitcoin.
The Digital Dollar is government money that is easy to produce and gives politicians a terrifying amount of control over people’s lives. Bitcoin is non-state “hard money” that helps liberate the individual from government control.
In short, the Digital Dollar is a pathetic attempt to compete with Bitcoin.
Bitcoin is digital gold.
The Digital Dollar is digital confetti.
The Digital Dollar makes an inferior form of money even worse, but at the same time, it’s an excellent Trojan Horse for Bitcoin.
It doesn’t take much imagination to see that once the US government inevitably inflates the Digital Dollar, censors transactions, arbitrarily freezes people’s accounts, and confiscates funds, it will push people to look for digital alternatives, first and foremost – Bitcoin.
A Digital Dollar could be an enormous catalyst for Bitcoin adoption.
But couldn’t the government just shut down Bitcoin if it is going to compete with the Digital Dollar?
Remember, unbreakable cryptography secures Bitcoin.
Further, Bitcoin has no central authority and no single point of failure. Instead, it runs on a decentralized and voluntary network scattered around the world on many thousands of computers.
With Bitcoin, there’s no central location for a SWAT team to raid. There’s no “capo” to arrest. Governments can do nothing but play an endless game of whack-a-mole across the globe.
It’s impossible for the US government, the Chinese government, or any government to kill Bitcoin. They would have to shut down the entire internet everywhere in the world and then keep it off.
The cat is out of the bag. Bitcoin is bigger than any government.
Well, if the government can’t shut it down, won’t it ban Bitcoin?
First, the idea that the US government would want to throw peaceful people in cages for using Bitcoin is an insult to anyone who values personal and financial freedom. It would be a sign that much worse things are coming, and I would suggest leaving the country if such a thing happened.
Second, if the US government tries to ban Bitcoin, it would be an explicit recognition of its value and threat to its control of money. Governments wouldn’t bother banning something that didn’t matter. That’s why I would consider it an enormous stamp of approval if a bunch of bureaucrats tried to ban Bitcoin.
Third, in any case, banning Bitcoin is impractical. Think of it like this. Look at how successful governments have been at prohibiting cannabis over the decades. Despite their best efforts, cannabis has always been readily available in most big cities. Trying to enforce a prohibition on something intangible like Bitcoin would be much less practical.
I’d like to see governments try to ban it and then fail spectacularly. It would be a volatile ride, but in the end, a massive reinforcement of Bitcoin’s value proposition.
Here’s the bottom line. The US government cannot stop Bitcoin. It’s being forced to adopt a Digital Dollar because it recognizes that other monetary goods that it does not control are starting to compete with the dollar, namely a Digital Yuan and Bitcoin.
So the government’s going to adopt a Digital Dollar in the misguided belief it will help keep the US dollar competitive. But that’s unlikely to happen for the reasons I just described. It will backfire and cause more people to go to Bitcoin.
A Digital Dollar is coming soon – possibly as early as January.
That means we are going to see much more inflation and more Bitcoin adoption. Position yourself accordingly.
Chief Analyst, The Casey Report
Rachel’s note: In the final installment of our prediction series, out tomorrow, Nick reveals the “open” psychedelics secret among billionaires… and how to make a fortune off the coming legalization trend…