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The U.S. Mint announced Monday that it would resume taking orders of American Eagle coins on a limited basis after last week's sales suspension. At this very moment in time, orders on gold coins are taking weeks or even months to fill.
Currencies add to their gains... Industrial Production soars!... 2nd QTR GDP to be a one and done!... The Aden Sisters on gold!... and much more, including today's currency prices, in this edition of the Daily Pfennig - Your Eye on World Currencies!
Though few may have noticed, the past few weeks may be regarded as a global economic turning point. Evidence is mounting that the United States is entering a recession, with increasing signs that it could morph into a depression.
Precious metals uncertain. Gold, platinum move up, but silver declines. Dollar drops. Euro seen as oversold. Crude pushes higher as Gustav threatens Gulf. Inventories also weak. Base metals move higher. Strong durables orders suggest demand may increase. All this and more in The Daily Resource
It’s true for almost any commodity: there are a lot of influences pushing on the price, and it’s hard to untangle them all. But gold is exceptional. A single factor dominates the market price – and you can measure it.
Over the last few months, as the dollar rose more than 10% against a basket of other currencies, and as gold and oil sank to multi-month lows, many investors concluded that a threshold had been crossed, and that the bearish trend for the dollar and the bullish trends for commodities had finally come to an end.
Making assumptions is often a bad idea, but I am going to go out on a limb here and make the assumption that those of you with an interest in gold are concerned over the latest setback, the depth of which has surprised even us.
Recent price action in the foreign exchange market in our estimation is a function of a short-term rebalancing in expectations of global growth and demand for commodities. When combined with the pause in the rate hike campaign at the European Central Bank and growing uncertainty regarding the prospects for economic growth in the United States dollar bulls that have been lurking in the shadows for the past several years have re-emerged with gusto over the past two weeks.
World markets have been watching with bated breath lately as the dynamic duo of Paulson-Bernanke has mounted the Hill (or has been mounted, as it were), on several occasions recently, soothing the markets, politicians, and public with calming words about liquidity, regulation, and “bottoms.”
Atac Tags At Rau, Hathor Adds Base Metals To Roughrider, Yamana Posts Earnings Drop, Goldsource Hits Again At Border, NovaGold Faces Lawsuit and more this week on the Canadian Markets.
In an interview Thursday on CNBC, former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan cast his eyes on the charred landscape of the national real estate market and offered high-minded criticisms of the obvious excesses and irrationalities that brought on the devastation. Greenspan’s attitude was akin to a retired drug dealer lamenting the urban blight caused by rampant addiction.
Some might say the U.S. now finds itself backed into in a foxhole when it comes to meeting its energy needs. Although we have the highest rates of energy consumption in the world, it’s no big news that our traditional sources of oil are either tapping out or have become “No Trespassing” zones, leaving us dependent on foreign sources for 70% of the oil needed to keep the lights on.
Zig, zag, but more zag than zig. Very strong support at the $850 level and that may be where gold is headed. Will it hold there? Most commentators suggest that a new bull move is eminent. That is not yet in the charts so we’ll have to just keep on watching.
As investors, the question we have to focus most of our attention on just now is what impact the credit crisis, the bursting housing bubble and the actions of the U.S. government will have on the economy and investment markets in the next six months.
That’s right: the long-awaited Mania stage in gold may be nigh. How can I make such a claim? After all, some have been screaming “It’s here! It’s here!” for months or even years. So I propose that instead of simply declaring that Mania time is near, I lay out the facts and see if you come to the same conclusion.
Here at Casey Research we have been on the record as bearish on the outlook for the economy for some years now. Lest you think that is loose boasting, I can offer proof in Doug Casey’s August 2005 article, the dramatically titled “Profiting from the End of Western Civilization”.
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