Butter futures reached an all-time high in Chicago as Americans’ rising appetite for the fatty dairy spread and rising exports erode U.S. inventories.
Domestic consumption is projected to rise 0.8 percent to 788,000 metric tons in 2014, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture. That would be the second-highest ever in data going back to 1965. Shipments in the first six months of the year were up 42 percent from 2013. Demand is rising as milk production trailed analyst expectations, while fat content, used to make butter, is also dropping, according to Eric Meyer, the president of Chicago-based High Ground Dairy.
Consumers have increased purchases for five straight years, while margarine sales dropped, according to researcher Nielsen NV. The gains left U.S. stockpiles in July 42 percent lower than a year earlier, USDA data show. Tight butter supplies are contributing to higher costs for buyers including Panera Bread Co.
“Ultimately, there’s good demand for cream-based products that’s tightening up the market,” Dave Kurzawski, a Chicago-based senior broker at INTL FCStone Inc., said in a telephone interview. “We haven’t had a tremendous amount of milk to deal with either, and the quality of fat in milk has gone down.”
This Bloomberg story appeared on their website at 10:13 a.m. EDT on Friday morning---and today's first article is courtesy of Howard Wiener.
The gulf between inflating global securities prices and deteriorating fundamental prospects widens by the week.
I’d been awaiting a German response to all the Draghi Q.E. jubilation. It is notable that it came from Finance Minister Schaeuble and not Bundesbank President Weidmann. Expectations for aggressive ECB monetary inflation do come at the same time as the anti-German “austerity” movement becomes increasingly clamorous. At the end of the day, I still don’t see how the French, Italians and Germans (among others) share a common currency. The cultures – the views on so many things, including how wealth is created (and shared), how economies should function, and how monetary and fiscal affairs must be managed – are inconsistent and often conflicting. At some point, somebody – the “periphery” countries, the French and Italians, or perhaps the German people - will say “enough is enough – this is not sustainable.”
In this age of monetary inflationism, the Germans provide a veritable oasis of sanity. At its best, “monetary policy can only buy time.” At its worst – the current reality – over time it buys problematic out-of-control Bubbles. Why would European banks partake in higher risk lending for business investment when they can make seemingly risk-free profits buying sovereign bonds? For that matter, why would American CEOs invest in plant and equipment at home when so much “wealth” is created buying back their stock? Meanwhile, two years of massive global monetary stimulus has prolonged historic investment booms in China and throughout much of Asia. This has exacerbated Bubbles, while only worsening the global pricing backdrop and capital investment environments elsewhere. Global imbalances have worsened.
Monetary policy promised way too much back in 2012. As I’ve written repeatedly, at this stage of a most spectacular and protracted Credit cycle, monetary inflation can only make things worse. Where does it end? And not for a minute do I believe the alarming rise in geopolitical risk and instability is unrelated to years of prolonged global monetary disorder. Mismanagement of the world’s reserve currency is replete with huge consequences. Mismanagement of all the world’s major currencies is a complete fiasco.
This absolute must read commentary by Doug was posted on the prudentbear.com Internet site early on Friday evening---and I thank reader U.D. for passing it around.
This video interview is first rate---and a must watch. But let me warn you right up front, dear reader, this ends up as an infomercial, so keep you hand firmly on your wallet when the advert shows up on your screen. The presentation, including the embedded infomercial, runs for 45 minutes. I thank Harold Jacobsen for sharing it with us.
An oil tanker loaded with $100 million of disputed Iraqi Kurdish crude has disappeared of the coast of Texas in the latest development in a high stakes game of cat-and-mouse between Baghdad and the Kurds.
The AIS ship tracking system used by the U.S. Coast Guard and Reuters on Thursday showed no known position for the United Kalavrvta, which was carrying 1 million barrels of crude and 95 percent full when it went dark.
Several other tankers carrying disputed crude from Iran or Iraqi Kurdistan have unloaded cargoes after switching off their transponders, which makes their movements hard to track.
Days ago, the partially full Kamari tanker carrying Kurdish crude disappeared from satellite tracking north of Egypt's Sinai. It reappeared empty two days later near Israel.
This interesting news item appeared on the independent.co.uk Internet site on Friday---and it's the first offering of the day from South African reader B.V.
Why do I believe a new false-flag event is imminent? America has not suffered a large scale terrorist attack for over 13 years, after all. I can only say that current trends and international developments seem to be spiraling towards a breaking point; a kind of singularity, and if you understand that the majority of these events are deliberately engineered, then you also understand that the inevitable singularity (or primary disaster) is engineered as well.
The foremost current threat and most useful scapegoat is, of course, the ISIS insurgency in the Middle East. If one's source of information was the mainstream media alone, one might be inclined to believe that ISIS has materialized out of nowhere to become a menace so organized and effective it has eclipsed Al-Qaeda as the hot button boogeyman used by the establishment. ISIS is certainly a disturbing militant group that goes out of its way to play the villain, complete with scary Muslim clothing and beards, not to mention the severed heads and indiscriminate genocide. Where is Jack Bauer when you need him, right?
The cartoonish nature of ISIS is not accidental, but I can see why they frighten a subset of the American population; if I didn't know that they were funded by the U.S. and Saudi Arabia, with military aid from Israel, then I might find them a terrifying enigma as well.
ISIS leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi was held at a U.S. run detention facility called Camp Bucca from 2005 until 2009. Before his imprisonment, Baghdadi's friends and family reported him to be a “quiet, studious fellow who was also a talented soccer player”. Only one year after being released from U.S. detention, however, he was a fanatical Islamic extremist who would go on to command the ISIS caliphate. In 2011, the U.S. State Department listed Bagdhadi as a “Specially Designated Global Terrorist” with a bounty of $10 million. There is no public record as to why Baghdadi was originally detained.
Former U.S. Air Force security officer, James Skylar Gerrond, served at Camp Bucca while Bagdhadi was held there, and is quoted as saying "Many of us at Camp Bucca were concerned that instead of just holding detainees, we had created a pressure cooker for extremism." Indeed...
This commentary by Brandon Smith, which is definitely worth reading, was posted on the Zero Hedge website at 5:59 p.m. EDT on Friday---and it's the first offering of the day from Roy Stephens.
U.K. Home Secretary Theresa May has announced that a terrorist attack on the U.K. is :"highly likely," although stressed that there is no information to suggest an attack is imminent:
Her decision is based on the latest intelligence from Syria and Iraq (and we suspect, as Brandon Smith notes, "the goal will be to terrify you and those around you into seeking out a more powerful, more centralized government authority to protect your security.")
This short article was also posted on the Zero Hedge website. This one showed up there at 9:08 a.m. EDT on Friday morning---and it's the second contribution of the day from reader B.V.
The European Central Bank has run out of ways to help the euro area, putting the burden on governments to spur growth without running excessive deficits, German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble said.
In an interview with Bloomberg Television at the Medef business leaders’ conference near Paris, Schaeuble said he agrees “100 percent” with ECB President Mario Draghi’s appeals for governments in the 18-country currency union to complement monetary policy with “structural reforms” to boost competitiveness and overcome the legacy of Europe’s debt crisis.
‘‘Monetary policy can only buy time,’’ Schaeuble said in the interview yesterday. “Liquidity in markets is not too low, it’s even too high. Therefore I think monetary policy has come to the end of its instruments and therefore what we urgently need is investments, regaining confidence by investors, by markets, by consumers.”
Someone finally admitted the obvious. Doug Noland quoted this Thursday Bloomberg article at length in his weekly Credit Bubble Bulletin posted further up. It certainly falls into the must read category---and I found this story embedded in yesterday's edition of the King Report.
The U.K. will press European Union leaders to consider blocking Russian access to the SWIFT banking transaction system under an expansion of sanctions over the conflict in Ukraine, a British government official said.
The Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication, known as SWIFT, is one of Russia’s main connections to the international financial system. Prime Minister David Cameron’s government plans to put the topic on the agenda for a meeting of EU leaders in Brussels today, according to the official, who asked not to be named because the discussions are private.
“Blocking Russia from the SWIFT system would be a very serious escalation in sanctions against Russia and would most certainly result in equally tough retaliatory actions by Russia,” said Chris Weafer, a senior partner at Moscow-based consulting firm Macro Advisory. “An exclusion from SWIFT would not block major trade deals but would cause problems in cross-border banking and that would disrupt trade flows.”
This Bloomberg article, filed from Brussels, showed up on their Internet site at 4 p.m. MDT on Friday afternoon---and I extracted it from a Zero Hedge piece that Roy Stephens sent our way.
Current European leaders are unable to behave independently, Russian President Vladimir Putin said Friday.
“But if today’s leaders of Europe are far from being able to show independence, then that doesn’t mean that this trend has failed. Regardless this trend to independence, to sovereignty, to their own opinions, to standing up for their own positions: this is growing and will continue to grow in the future. It’s a shame that not everyone from our colleagues in the West notice this,” Putin said.
The European countries have been pressured since the crisis in Ukraine escalated, when the United States urged the European Union to follow its lead and impose tougher sanctions against Russia.
This RIA Novosti story appeared on their website at 6:43 p.m. Moscow time on their Friday evening, which was 10:43 a.m. in New York. It's another article from Roy Stephens.
Russia says there is a risk that gas shortages this winter could force Ukraine to siphon off supplies of Russian gas meant for EU customers.
Ukraine's gas reserves have reached a "critical" state, Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak said.
He was speaking after talks in Moscow with EU Energy Commissioner Guenther Oettinger. The EU is anxious to ensure secure gas supplies for the winter.
Ukraine needs to store much more gas underground, Mr Novak said.
This article put in an appearance on the bbc.com Internet site at 8:22 EDT yesterday---and it's another offering from reader B.V.
Russian-E.U. gas talks have progressed, but no solution was reached Friday over Russia and Ukraine’s gas standoff. Moscow says their $100 gas discount to Kiev stands, and the EU doesn’t want gas negotiations to be used to escalate the Ukraine crisis.
The gas situation is ‘critical’ Russia’s Energy Minister Aleksandr Novak said after meeting with EU energy chief Gunther Oettinger in Moscow on Friday. The minister expressed concern about Ukraine’s preparations for the winter months as gas supplies dwindle, and warned Kiev might siphon off Europe-bound deliveries.
Russia said the will resume gas deliveries to Ukraine if they pay $1.45 billion of their gas debt, Aleksey Miller, CEO of Gazprom, said. Naftogaz, Ukraine's national oil and gas company, has a total debt of $5.3 billion.
Russia again offered Kiev a $100 gas price discount, bringing the total price down to $385 per 1,000 cubic meters, a lower price it charges any of its European customers. However, before Gazprom can offer the discount, Kiev has to begin repaying their debt.
This news item appeared on the Russia Today website at 9:07 a.m. Moscow time on their Friday morning---and it's courtesy of Roy Stephens.
1. U.N.: Ukraine conflict death toll hits 2,600, civilians ‘trapped inside conflict zones’: Russia Today 2. Ukraine crisis: Putin says Russia is 'ready to repel any aggression' and compares Ukrainian Government to Nazis: The Independent 3. Putin: Kiev’s shelling in East Ukraine reminiscent of Nazi actions during WWII: Russia Today 4. Lavrov: No proof given for Western allegations about Russian troops in Ukraine: Russia Today 5. Putin Says Tymoshenko Did Nothing Wrong, Persecution Damaged Russian-Ukrainian Ties: RIA Novosti 6. Russia-led military bloc ready to send peacekeepers to Ukraine: Russia Today 7. Ukrainian refugees to receive Russian pensions - minister: Russia Today 8. International Recognition of Crimea as Part of Russia to Be ‘Long and Tiresome’ – Putin: RIA Novosti
[The above stories are courtesy of reader B.V.---and Roy Stephens]
The attack on the three Ain Zalah installations began on Thursday morning, they said, but the militants blew them all up as they retreated.
The area is part of a large swathe of territory in northern Iraq overrun by Islamic State in recent weeks.
Iraqi and Kurdish forces backed by US air strikes have regained some ground, including the vital Mosul dam.
This news item appeared on the bbc.com Internet site on Friday---and I thank reader B.V. for bringing it to our attention.
The concept that has underpinned the modern geopolitical era is in crisis.
Libya is in civil war, fundamentalist armies are building a self-declared caliphate across Syria and Iraq and Afghanistan's young democracy is on the verge of paralysis. To these troubles are added a resurgence of tensions with Russia and a relationship with China divided between pledges of cooperation and public recrimination. The concept of order that has underpinned the modern era is in crisis.
The search for world order has long been defined almost exclusively by the concepts of Western societies. In the decades following World War II, the U.S.—strengthened in its economy and national confidence—began to take up the torch of international leadership and added a new dimension. A nation founded explicitly on an idea of free and representative governance, the U.S. identified its own rise with the spread of liberty and democracy and credited these forces with an ability to achieve just and lasting peace. The traditional European approach to order had viewed peoples and states as inherently competitive; to constrain the effects of their clashing ambitions, it relied on a balance of power and a concert of enlightened statesmen. The prevalent American view considered people inherently reasonable and inclined toward peaceful compromise and common sense; the spread of democracy was therefore the overarching goal for international order. Free markets would uplift individuals, enrich societies and substitute economic interdependence for traditional international rivalries.
This effort to establish world order has in many ways come to fruition. A plethora of independent sovereign states govern most of the world's territory. The spread of democracy and participatory governance has become a shared aspiration if not a universal reality; global communications and financial networks operate in real time.
This essay by Henry appeared on The Wall Street Journal website at 12:04 p.m. EDT on Friday afternoon---and it's a must read for sure. I'm not sure whether this an obituary for The New World Order crowd, or a call to arms before the possibility slips from their grasp. One thing is for sure, is that Henry isn't speaking to the average world citizen, but to his own peer group, so you can read into this whatever you wish. This story was sent to us by reader M.A.---and I thank him on your behalf.
Brazil has fallen into recession, just a month before the general election, latest figures show.
Economic output, GDP, fell by 0.6% in the three months to June, worse than analysts had predicted, and revised figures for the first quarter of the year also showed a fall of 0.2%.
A recession is usually defined as two consecutive quarters of contraction.
The news will be damaging for the government of President Dilma Rousseff.
This article put in an appearance on the bbc.com Internet site at 9:54 a.m. EDT on Friday---and it's the final contribution of the day from reader B.V.
It has been established that the most expensive beer in the world is sold in Norway, while the cheapest can be chugged in Poland. But in which country is the most alcohol drunk?
Stereotypes and anecdotes abound: the English are always drunk, especially on vacation; the Russians have vodka for breakfast; the Germans dress up in leather just to drink beer. The French invented Champagne, and the Chinese enjoy drinking it.
None of this is enough to name the people of any nation the world's biggest boozers. Luckily there is data, published by the World Health Organization, to give us the answer. The chart above details the countries that consume the most, and least, alcohol per capita. Cheers! Or, as they say in Belarus...well, here's the list.
This interesting item appeared on The Wall Street Journal website of all places---and the embedded chart is worth a look. It was posted there on Friday, August 22---and reader M.A. sent it our way last Monday. It's also his last offering in today's column---and for obvious reasons it had to wait until today.
1. Ronald-Peter Stoferle: "This Unprecedented Monetary Experiment Will End Very Badly" 2. Egon von Greyerz: "$280 Trillion Debt, $1.5 Quadrillion Derivatives---and a Gold Squeeze" 3. David Stockman: "Unprecedented Global Financial Wipe Out Is Coming"
[Please direct any questions or comments about what is said in these interviews by either Eric King or his guests to them, and not to me. Thank you. - Ed]
Gold researcher and GATA consultant Koos Jansen today compares the growth of China's gold and silver markets to the Comex futures market in the United States, noting that the governor of the People's Bank of China says "gold still bears the marked nature of money under the modern financial system."
Jansen's analysis is headlined "Precious Metals Markets: China vs. U.S." and it was posted on the bullionstar.com Internet site at 9:28 p.m. Singapore time on their Wednesday evening.
Some investors are able to participate in private placements, where a company raises money by offering new shares. For U.S. investors to participate in a private placement, they must be suitably qualified for the offering. Suitability depends on the exemptions under the Securities Act of 1933 through which the company is able to offer new shares. This loosely means that the investor must meet a certain threshold of net worth, income, or investable assets in order to participate.
Private placements may be done by private or publicly trading companies. When a public company issues shares in a private placement, the new shares are not freely tradable, but must be held for a specified period of time, and must have their trading restriction lifted by the issuer’s legal counsel before they can be sold.
Rick Rule believes that if you’re able to take part in these transactions, they could be attractive ways to take advantage of a recovery in natural resources
This commentary appeared on the sprottglobal.com Internet site on Friday afternoon.
Central America was a 280-foot steamship that carried passengers and bullion from Panama to ports on the Eastern seaboard of the United States.
The ship sank after it was caught in a September 1857 hurricane. More than 420 of the 550 people on board died. The sinking was the worst shipwreck in American history–a short-lived distinction as the sinking of the S.S. Sultana in 1865 took the lives of more than 1,500 people.
As CoinWeek reported earlier, the April 15, 2014 reconnaissance dive turned up five gold ingots and two $20 double eagle gold coins. Recovery efforts were threatened after a legal claim filed on behalf of the Columbus-America Discovery Group. Odyssey Marine continued their recovery efforts throughout the proceedings and a U.S District Court in Virginia dismissed the case.
In the report, recovery work that took place between April 15 and May 8, 2014 yielded more than 800 gold coins and a cache of nearly 10,000 silver coins, including 8,931 dimes. However, the company’s most recent communication to CoinWeek reveals that the firm’s efforts have turned up and extensive accumulation of gold and silver objects.
This very interesting article showed up on the coinweek.com Internet site at 1:46 p.m. EDT on Thursday---and my thanks go out to reader Ken Hurt for sending it along.
The economy expanded even more rapidly than previously estimated in the second quarter, the government said Thursday.
The nation's gross domestic product grew at a 4.2% annual rate, vs. the surprisingly strong 4% pace initially believed, the Commerce Department said. Economists expected a revision to 3.9%.
The higher growth estimate was due to stronger business investment of 8.4%, up from the 5.5% initially believed. Equipment spending — a measure of core capital spending — increased 10.7%.
If you believe this, dear reader, then you'll obviously believe any type of shameless propaganda that comes out of Washington. This news item appeared on the usatoday.com Internet site at 6:14 p.m. EDT yesterday, which is amazing since Casey Research's own Louis James passed it around late yesterday morning Denver time, its' obviously been edited in the interim.
Americans are more anxious about the economy now than they were right after the Great Recession ended despite stock market gains, falling unemployment and growth moving closer to full health.
Seventy-one percent of Americans say they think the recession exerted a permanent drag on the economy, according to a survey being released Thursday by Rutgers University. By contrast, in November 2009, five months after the recession officially ended, the Rutgers researchers found that only 49 percent thought the downturn would have lasting damage.
And that was when the unemployment rate was 9.9 percent, compared with the current 6.2 percent.
"They're more negative than they were five years ago," said Rutgers public policy professor Carl Van Horn.
This article put in an appearance on the moneynews.com Internet site at 12:02 p.m. EDT on Thursday---and it's courtesy of West Virginia reader Elliot Simon.
While we have yet to do the actual math on the now-concluded second quarter earnings season, to find out if spending on buybacks surpassed the Q1 record, one thing is still quite clear: with the impact of Fed's QE fading, if only for the time being, buybacks remain the marginal driver, and according to some only driver, of stock market upside in 2014.
However one person who has decided not to wait in declaring the buyback party over, is SocGen's Albert Edwards, the same person who correctly forecast back in late 2012 the epic scramble by investment grade (and high yield) companies to lever up, incidentally, to record levels crushing all the endless blather that there is some massive corporate deleveraging going on.
This is what Edwards said in his latest note: "Much has happened over the summer, but two landmark firsts have occurred only recently, with the S&P500 breaking above 2,000 and the 10y bund yield breaking below 1%. Our Ice Age thesis has long called for sub-1% bond yields and I see this extending to the US and UK in due course. It is the equity markets where I have been consistently surprised. QE has been an essential driver for the equity market, providing the fuel for the heavy corporate bond issuance being used for share buybacks. Companies themselves have been the only substantive buyers of equity, but the most recent data suggests that this party is over and as profits also stall out, the equity market is now running on fumes."
This Zero Hedge piece, with some excellent charts, was posted on their website at 12:51 p.m. EDT yesterday---and I thank reader U.D. for passing it around.
The house organ for the Council of Foreign Relations, Foreign Affairs, has published its final solution under the title: “Print Less and Transfer More: Why Central Banks Should Give Money directly to the People.” Written under the names Mark Blyth and Eric Lonergan, but trumpeting the establishment voice of, say, Martin Wolf, they state:
"It’s well past time, then, for U.S. policymakers – as well as their counterparts in other developed countries - to consider a version of Friedman’s helicopter drops…. Many in the private sector don’t want to take out any more loans; they believe their debt levels are already too high. That’s especially bad news for central bankers: when households and businesses refuse to rapidly increase their borrowing, monetary policy can’t do much to increase their spending…. Governments must do better. Rather than trying to spur private-sector spending through asset purchases or interest-rate changes, central banks, such as the Fed, should hand consumers cash directly…. The transfers wouldn’t cause damaging inflation, and few doubt that they would work. The only real question is why no government has tried them.”
This guest commentary by Frederick Sheehan appeared on David Stockman's website yesterday sometime---and I thank Roy Stephens for pointing it out.
The current bubbles in financial assets -- in equities and bonds of all grades and quality -- raging in every major market across the globe are no accident.
They are a deliberate creation. The intentional results of policy.
Therefore, when they burst, we shouldn't regard the resulting damage as some freak act of nature or other such outcome outside of our control. To reiterate, the carnage will be the very predictable result of some terribly shortsighted decision-making and defective logic.
Blame can and should be laid where it belongs: with the central banks.
This excellent 2-part commentary was posted on the peakprosperity.com Internet site at 8:17 p.m. on Wednesday evening. The second part is free, but you have to sign up to read it, so you'll end up on his mailing list. Part 1 is definitely worth reading---and I thank reader U.D. for his second contribution to today's column.
A number of United States banks, including JPMorgan Chase and at least four others, were struck by hackers in a series of coordinated attacks this month, according to four people briefed on a continuing investigation into the crimes.
The hackers infiltrated the networks of the banks, siphoning off gigabytes of data, including checking and savings account information, in what security experts described as a sophisticated cyber attack.
The motivation and origin of the attacks are not yet clear, according to investigators. The F.B.I. is involved in the investigation, and in the past few weeks a number of security firms have been brought in to conduct forensic studies of the penetrated computer networks.
According to two other people briefed on the matter, hackers infiltrated the computer networks of some banks and stole checking and savings account information from clients. It was not clear whether the attacks were financially motivated, or if they were collecting intelligence as part of an espionage effort. Aside from JPMorgan, it was also not immediately clear which other banks were infiltrated.
This was posted on The New York Times website on Wednesday---and I'll leave it up to you to decide how much of this might be true. It's the first offering of the day from Roy Stephens. Elliot Simon sent us this moneynews.com story from Thursday on the same issue. It's headlined "Russian Hackers Said to Attack Five Banks Seeking Customer Data"
Reader Patty Kosters sent me the link to the relevant U.S. State Department web page where it shows all the new fees. So if you are sitting on the fence, you've got until September 12 to get out at the old price, which is a bargain at $450.00.
May 2013, President Kirchner: "As long as I'm president, those who want to make money through devaluations, which other people have to pay for, will have to keep waiting for another government,"
Jan 2014: Argentina Devaluation Sends Currency Tumbling Most in 12 Years
Aug 2014: Argentina’s Cabinet Chief Jorge Capitanich said today a devaluation of the peso, "obviously won't happen."
So what's next?
This Zero Hedge article appeared on their website at 9:49 a.m. EDT on Thursday---and I thank reader M.A. for bringing it to our attention.
The E.U. has announced emergency help for dairy producers hit by the Russian ban on food imports from the E.U.
The move follows E.U. aid worth €125m (£100m; $170m) announced earlier for fruit and vegetable exporters.
The European Commission will help pay storage costs for butter and skimmed milk powder. E.U. aid will also extend to certain cheeses. Last year E.U. cheese sales to Russia were nearly €1bn.
The biggest E.U. dairy exporters to Russia in 2013 were: the Netherlands (€301m), Finland (€253m), Germany (€184m) and Lithuania (€160m).
This article showed up on the bbc.com Internet site at 8:46 a.m. EDT on Thursday---and I thank South African reader B.V. for sending it along.
Switzerland’s decision to expand its blacklist of sanctions against Russian individuals and companies is groundless and damages Switzerland’s own interests, the Russian Foreign Ministry said in a statement Thursday.
“We consider this decision by Bern unfounded. It shows that Switzerland continues to copy anti-Russian U.S. and E.U. measures to the detriment of its own interests,” the statement reads.
Switzerland on Wednesday increased sanctions against Russia over the situation in Ukraine to blacklist 11 individuals, six banks and two companies.
This article appeared on the RIA Novosti website at 7:28 p.m. Moscow time on their Thursday evening, which was 11:28 a.m. in New York.
1. Ukraine rebel assaults spark Russia invasion claims: Bloomberg 2. NATO Says Over 1,000 Russian Troops in Ukraine, "Extremely Worrying... Dire Situation": Zero Hedge 3. Ukraine Accuses Russia of Launching Invasion, Then Promptly Retracts: Zero Hedge 4. Aggravation of Sanctions Unwanted, but Russian Troops in Ukraine ‘Intolerable’ – Hollande:RIA Novosti 5. Kiev loses control of Novoazovsk, rebel troops advance in southeast Ukraine: Russia Today 6. Only Russian volunteers fighting with anti-Kiev forces - Donetsk Republic leader: Russia Today 7. 'No Russian troops in Ukraine': Moscow's OSCE rep responds to Kiev's claims: Russia Today 8. Russia’s E.U. Envoy Says 9 Detained Paratroopers Are Only Russian Servicemen in Ukraine: RIA Novosti 9. NATO Releases Satellite Imagery "Proof" That Russia Has Invaded Ukraine: Zero Hedge 10. Russian Defense Ministry: Online list of army units 'relocated to Ukraine' is a fake: Russia Today 11. 'Kiev, rise up!' Protesters demand ouster of Ukrainian president, defense minister: Russia Today
[The above stories are courtesy of reader M.A.---and Roy Stephens]
The latest Washington lie, this one coming from NATO, is that Russia has invaded Ukraine with 1,000 troops and self-propelled artillery.
How do we know that this is a lie? Is it because we have heard nothing but lies about Russia from NATO, from U.S. ambassador to the U.N. Samantha Power, from assistant secretary of state Victoria Nuland, from Obama and his entire regime of pathological liars, and from the British, German, and French governments along with the BBC and the entirety of the Western media?
This, of course, is a good reason for knowing that the latest Western propaganda is a lie. Those who are pathological liars don’t suddenly start telling the truth.
But there are even better reasons for understanding that Russia has not invaded Ukraine with 1,000 troops.
Paul holds nothing back here---and this must read commentary appeared on his website on Thursday. I thank Roy Stephens for finding it for us.
The road to the Minsk summit this past Tuesday began to be paved when German Chancellor Angela Merkel talked to ARD public TV after her brief visit to Kiev on Saturday.
Merkel emphasized, “A solution must be found to the Ukraine crisis that does not hurt Russia.”
She added that "There must be dialogue. There can only be a political solution. There won't be a military solution to this conflict.”
Merkel talked about “decentralization” of Ukraine, a definitive deal on gas prices, Ukraine-Russia trade, and even hinted Ukraine is free to join the Russia-promoted Eurasian Union (the E.U. would never make a “huge conflict” out of it). Exit sanctions; enter sound proposals.
This is another excellent must read commentary. This right-on-the-money 'Op Edge' piece appeared on the Russia Today Internet site at 9:27 a.m. Moscow time on their Thursday morning---and I thank reader U.D. for his third contribution to today's column.
The White House is pushing back after President Barack Obama's stated his administration currently doesn't have "a strategy" for dealing with the jihadist group Islamic State, also known as ISIS or ISIL, and drew headlines across the country.
"I don't want to put the cart before the horse," Obama said at a press briefing late Thursday afternoon. "We don't have a strategy yet."
White House Press Secretary Josh Earnest subsequently insisted that Obama specifically articulated a "comprehensive strategy" for dealing with the Islamic State during the briefing.
Earnest quickly scheduled an appearance on CNN during which he argued Obama was simply referencing the U.S. options against the Islamic State in Syria — not in Iraq.
This article appeared on the businessinsider.com Internet site at 6:04 p.m. EDT on Thursday evening---and it's another contribution from Roy Stephens.
According to Lenin, the Soviet government rested “directly on force, not limited by anything, not restricted by any laws, nor any absolute rules.” (V.I. Lenin, “A Contribution to the History of the Question of the Dictatorship,” October 20, 1920, in Collected Works, 4th Russian edition, p. 326.)
In the 21st century the U.S. government has echoed Lenin. No laws, domestic or international, restrain the US from torture. Laws do not prevent the US from attacking sovereign countries or from conducting military operations within the borders of sovereign countries. Constitutional protections and due process do not prevent the US from detaining citizens indefinitely or from murdering them on suspicion or accusation alone.
The latest manifestation of Washington’s Leninism is Washington’s announcement that the US government has no plans to coordinate US attacks on ISIS on Syrian territory with the Syrian government. Washington recognizes no limitations on its use of force, and the sovereignty of countries provides no inhibition.
In Washington coercion has supplanted the rule of law.
Here's another must read from Paul. This one appeared on his Internet site on Wednesday---and I thank reader M.A. for his final contribution to today's column.
In a sign of growing public concern over fluctuations in the country’s housing market, homeowners in two Chinese cities gathered over the weekend to demonstrate against plans by property developers to make steep price cuts even as the industry has recently struggled to attract buyers.
According to website MarketWatch, a crowd of homeowners surrounded the Shanghai sales office of property developer Greentown China Holdings Ltd. to protest a 25 percent drop in home values owned by the company. Meanwhile in Jinan, capital of Shandong Province, owners unfurled banners to protest a similar cut and clashed with counter-protesters organized by the real-estate company.
China's economy, the world’s second largest behind the United States, is highly dependent on its real estate sector, which accounts for between 16 percent and 20 percent of China's gross domestic product growth. Because of strict capital controls and a volatile stock market, Chinese citizens invest a significant portion of their surplus income into real estate: Despite widespread rural poverty, China’s home ownership rate is 90 percent (compared to 65 percent in the U.S.). Meanwhile, local governments lend money to property developers, whose investment in steel, cement and other commodities fuels politically desirable GDP growth. As a result, rows of apartment buildings -- often lacking residents -- dot the landscape in China’s major cities, creating widespread concerns of a bubble.
This very interesting news item was posted on the International Business Times website on Wednesday---and I found it embedded in yesterday's edition of the King Report.
Japan's vital signs remained weak in July as wages fell further and household spending dropped, signaling continued weakness in the world's third-largest economy.
Data released Friday showed the inflation rate was unchanged from the previous month. The core price consumer index that excludes volatile fresh food prices rose 3.3 percent in July, the same as a month earlier. Much of the increase stems from a 2 percentage point increase in Japan's sales tax in April, which has since sapped much of the steam from the country's economic recovery.
Under Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, the government and central bank have sought to spur inflation on the premise that it would goad businesses and consumers into spending more instead of saving money in anticipation the Japan's deflationary spiral will guarantee lower prices in the future.
That strategy, dubbed "Abenomics," has made some headway in ending the long spell of deflation that slowed growth for much of the past two decades. But headline inflation remains below the official target of 2 percent, excluding the boost from the tax hike, and so far there are only scant signs of the desired "virtuous cycle" of higher corporate spending to sustain growth in the long term.
So much for 'Q.E. to infinity' Japan style. This AP story put in an appearance on their website at 10:59 p.m. EDT last night---and I thank Elliot Simon for sharing it with us. It's worth reading.
The first interview is with Rick Rule---and it's headlined "I'm Incredibly Bullish on Gold and Silver". The second is with Gerald Celente---and it's entitled "Albert Einstein, World War III---and a Global Collapse"
[Please direct any questions or comments about what is said in these interviews by either Eric King or his guests to them, and not to me. Thank you. - Ed]
This brief 2:03 minute video clip appeared on the cnbc.com Internet site at 5:36 p.m. EDT on Wednesday---and I thank reader Ken Hurt for digging it up for us.
Mark O'Byrne's daily commentary on Thursday remarked on the impending gold repatriation referendum in Switzerland and noted that much Swiss gold is vaulted at the Bank of England in London and the Bank of Canada in Ottawa, the latter bank vaulting gold for three other nations as well.
All the info associated with this was posted on the goldcore.com Internet site yesterday---and I thank Chris Powell for wordsmithing the above paragraph of introduction.
More than 100 trucks hauling copper from the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) have been denied entry into Botswana over fears of an Ebola outbreak in Congo, leaving the trucks stranded at a border crossing, local media reported on Thursday.
The trucks, en route to South Africa from DRC, have been stranded in neighbouring Zambia since Monday, when they were denied entry into Botswana, the Times of Zambia newspaper reported.
Democratic Republic of Congo on Sunday declared an Ebola outbreak in its northern Equateur province, about 1,200 km north of the capital, Kinshasa. Most of its copper mines are in Katanga, about as far from Kinshasa to the southeast as Equateur is to the north.
At least 1,427 people have died of the deadly hemorrhagic virus since it broke out in the remote jungles of southeast Guinea in March. It then spread quickly to neighbouring Liberia and Sierra Leone.
This Reuters article appeared on the miningweekly.com Internet site yesterday---and it's the second offering of the day from reader B.V.
Despite the possibility of deficient monsoon casting a shadow on the rural demand, riding on overall better sentiments gold is expected to recover its sheen in the second half (July-December) of the year, Somasundaram P.R., managing director (India), World Gold Council (WGC) said.
“The second half will be a better one as compared with the previous year. The first half (January-June) was affected by the 80:20 rule on exports and expectations that there will be a duty cut.
Now, with budget for 2014-15 presented, people are not looking at a date for a duty cut, Somasundaram said, adding: “It has now receded in the minds of the consumers as priority.”
This gold-related news item, filed from New Delhi, was posted on the gulftoday.ae Internet site on Monday---and I found it on the Sharps Pixley website in the wee hours of this morning.
Rallies from Brazil to Japan and the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index’s first trip above 2,000 sent the value of global equities to a record $66 trillion.
Shares worldwide added more than $2.2 trillion in value since Aug. 7, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Optimism that central banks will support economic growth sent the MSCI All-Country World Index up 3.8 percent from its low this month. It was little changed at 9:40 a.m. in New York today. The S&P 500 has risen for 10 of the last 13 days and the NASDAQ Composite Index is about 10 percent from an all-time high.
Global markets are surmounting crises in Ukraine, the Gaza Strip and Iraq as investors renew bets that stimulus will revive growth. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index posted its biggest two-day gain since April after European Central Bank President Mario Draghi signaled policy makers may consider introducing an asset-buying plan. Japan’s Topix index is near its highest level since January, rebounding from losses earlier this year.
Beam me up, Scotty! There's no intelligent life down here. This Bloomberg article appeared on their website at 7:42 a.m. Denver time on Wednesday morning---and I thank West Virginia reader Elliot Simon for today's first story.
Marc Faber, publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom Report, talks about the outlook for global markets. Faber speaks with Matt Miller on Bloomberg Television's "In the Loop."
This 5:18 minute video interview appeared on the Bloomberg website on Tuesday sometime---and I thank reader Ken Hurt for sending it along.
I expect the next crisis to likely revolve around the harsh reality that central banks cannot guarantee robust and liquid markets. Actually, reflexivity ensures that perceptions of limitless cheap liquidity and market backstops ensure the type of excess that inevitably ends in liquidity crisis. When this historic Bubble bursts, corporate profits will be one of the more prominent casualties. And in the fascinating world of Bubble analysis, I can confidently posit that the Fed is oblivious to the unfolding financial stability problem. They clearly don’t appreciate the Bubble they have induced in corporate profits and the ramifications for the true overvaluation of corporate securities generally – both equities and bonds.
Soros has taken a bearish position through the purchase of put options on the S&P 500. Surely he is not alone in looking at relatively inexpensive market insurance for downside protection (as myriad risks become increasingly apparent). These types of instruments tend to exacerbate market volatility. In market declines, those that have sold/written market insurance must dynamically hedge this exposure, which can lead to self-reinforcing selling. At the same time, these types of bearish bets also provide buying power when markets reverse course and rally. This helps to explain why markets (think 1999 or 2007) tend to go into speculative melt-up mode right into the face of deteriorating fundamentals.
It’s also worth noting that the hedge fund industry is generally struggling with performance again this year. Ironically, all the “money” slushing into index products only makes the job of generating “alpha” from stock picking all the more challenging. There are many reasons I suspect the markets have entered a period of heightened volatility.
This commentary by Doug must have been posted on the prudentbear.com Internet site last Saturday, as it wasn't there late on Friday night when I checked it for inclusion in my Saturday column.
In the conclusion of a series of articles about "asset bubbles," Wednesday's Financial Times shows that it is fully aware of market manipulation by central banks but still can't bring itself to put those words together in the same sentence, nor to mention gold in that context.
From yesterday's article, written by the FT's Ralph Atkins:
"Investors have seen central bankers suppressing market volatility; the VIX index of expected U.S. share price movements, known as the 'Wall Street fear gauge,' is at a seven-year low. ...
"With their massively expanded balance sheets, central banks have come to dominate many markets, replacing the private sector. ..."
Too bad that the series ends short of any specification of the most sensitive market central banks are dominating. But mainstream financial journalism in the West can go only so far. Apparently mere hints are supposed to be considered heroic.
This Financial Times article from yesterday is posted in the clear in this GATA release---and I thank Chris Powell for wordsmithing the above preamble.
Cardiff city centre has been turned into a high security ‘prison’ with 10 miles of fencing - which is being dubbed the ‘ring of steel’ - ahead of the NATO conference next week.
Police have erected the nine feet high security fencing around Celtic Manor resort in Newport where Barack Obama, David Cameron and other world leaders will meet in Wales on September 4 and 5, as well as the city centre.
It comes as former foreign office minister, Kim Howells, issued fears that home grown Islamic State terrorists could be planning to attack the 2014 summit.
This rather imposing photo essay appeared on the dailymail.co.uk Internet site on Tuesday at 8:14 p.m. BST on Tuesday---and I thank reader Sean McLaren for bringing it to our attention.
Ah, the perils of European power politics.
A day after France revealed its new government, the person who so eagerly stepped in after DSK's [Dominique Strauss-Kahn] infamous and choreographed fall from grace and the IMF presidency (not to mention his derailed French presidential ambitions, green-lighting Hollande as what would become the worst French president ever), Christine Lagarde is about to be DSKed herself after "someone" clearly has set their sights on the former French finance minister.
Several hours ago the news hit that a French court has put Christine Lagarde, head of the International Monetary Fund, under a formal probe for negligence in a corruption investigation dating back to her days as finance minister.
To be sure, this development is hardly a shock: recall that it was over a year ago when "IMF's Lagarde Flat Raided Over French 'Payout' Probe" with her ascent to the head of the IMF also riddled with numerous allegations of impropriety involving the Tapie matter. However, until now, such outside interventions were below the radar, and certainly never escalated to anything formal or official. Alas, it now appears that Madame's time has come, even if Lagarde hasn't grasped it just yet.
This very interesting news item got the Zero Hedge treatment yesterday---and it's worth reading. I thank reader M.A. for sharing it with us.
Europe will remain heavily reliant on Russian gas for at least another decade, according to a leading rating agency.
Fitch said a lack of alternative sources meant policymakers would have no choice but to continue buying gas from Russia until at least the mid-2020s and "potentially much longer".
Europe already buys a quarter of its gas from Russia, and analysts expect consumption to increase by a third by 2030 as economies recover from the debt crisis and gas-fired electricity generation replaces old coal and nuclear power.
The fear-mongering never stops. One thing that this Ukraine/Russia imbroglio has highlighted for me, is that the mainstream Western media have all become propaganda channels for Washington and NATO. It's shameless, as is this piece that was posted on the telegraph.co.uk Internet site on Wednesday at 3:57 p.m. BST---and it's the first offering of the day from Roy Stephens.
Russian President Vladimir Putin said Wednesday his hands are tied in terms of the dispute over natural gas to Ukraine because of pending court issues.
The Ukrainian government filed a case in an international court of arbitration challenging the gas bills sent by Russian energy company Gazprom. In April, Gazprom sent Ukraine an $11 billion bill for not taking enough gas in 2013 under a take-or-pay contract.
Putin said from Minsk, where he met directly with Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko, that settling the gas issue would have to wait.
"Right now, we cannot even accept any suggestions regarding preferential terms, given that Ukraine has appealed to the arbitration court," he said.
This short UPI article appeared on their website at 9:08 a.m. EDT?---and it's worth skimming. It's the second offering of the day from Roy Stephens.
Russia is set to fulfill its European gas delivery contracts, regardless of political situation in transit nations, including Ukraine, Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak said Wednesday.
"I would like to stress that Russia’s stance on this issue remains unchanged: we will make maximum efforts to fulfill our contract obligations to European importers regardless of current political situation in this or that transit nation," the Russian minister said.
Ukrainian Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk claimed earlier in the day that Russia was planning to «cut all delivery of energy resources to Ukraine» and "halt gas transit in winter completely, even to European Union consumers."
Commenting on the reports, Novak said Russia was "perplexed by statements about Russia’s alleged intentions to halt gas transit to E.U. countries, made by certain Ukrainian politicians."
This news item showed up on the RIA Novosti website at 9:30 p.m. Moscow time on their Wednesday evening---and I thank reader M.A. for another contribution to today's column.
Determined to preserve the pro-Russian revolt in eastern Ukraine, Russia reinforced what Western and Ukrainian officials described as a stealth invasion on Wednesday, sending armored troops across the border as it expanded the conflict to a new section of Ukrainian territory.
The latest incursion, which Ukraine’s military said included five armored personnel carriers, was at least the third movement of troops and weapons from Russia across the southeast part of the border this week, further blunting the momentum Ukrainian forces have made in weakening the insurgents in their redoubts of Donetsk and Luhansk farther north. Evidence of a possible turn was seen in the panicky retreat of Ukrainian soldiers on Tuesday from a force they said had come over the Russian border.
Russia, which has denied it is helping the insurgents, did not acknowledge the military movements. But the Russians have signaled that they would not countenance a defeat of an insurgency in the heavily Russian eastern part of Ukraine, which would amount to a significant domestic political setback for President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia in his increasingly fractious relationship with the United States and its European allies.
I mentioned a couple of months back that I wasn't going to post any more stories from The New York Times about the Ukraine/Russia situation because they [along with the WSJ] had become such whores for Washington and NATO. But I just couldn't help myself today, as they really outdid themselves with this one. This is such bulls hit, that it's hard to believe that any 'reporter' worth his salt would put their names on such shlock. I'm not sure whether I should thank Roy Stephens for sending it our way, or not. And by the way, the headline has been changed to read "Ukraine Reports Russian Invasion on a New Front"
To prevent Russia from skirting international sanctions via Switzerland, the Swiss government has taken additional steps to reflect sanctions imposed by the EU in connection to the Ukraine crisis.
Taking effect on Wednesday, the new measures strengthen the ordinance that Switzerland adopted in April. The policies – outlined in detail in a statement – affect the finance sector and items requiring an export licence, in particular military supplies and dual-use goods that could be used for civilian as well as military purposes. There is also a ban on imports of such goods from Russia and Ukraine. Another embargo applies to the import and export of key goods used to extract oil and gas.
In addition, the cabinet “acknowledged the measures taken by Russia in respect of agricultural goods” and stressed that “Switzerland is not engaged in any state measures to promote additional Swiss exports to Russia”.
The cabinet said it would continue to monitor the situation in Ukraine closely, reserving “the right to take further measures depending on how the situation develops”.
So much for Switzerland's famous neutrality. This article appeared on the swissinfo.ch Internet site at 5:14 p.m. Europe time on Wednesday afternoon---and I thank South African reader B.V. for finding it for us.
Russia’s Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said that the West started its “irrational attacks on Russia long before” this spring’s events in Ukraine, but insisted that Moscow is seeking to avoid “spiraling sanctions” with the EU and the US.
“We are not interested in confrontation, we are not interested in a sanctions spiral,” the minister said in a speech to an audience at the Lake Seliger youth camp in central Russia.
“I can only note that long before events in Ukraine the West’s attacks on Russia assumed an irrational form. It all started long before this spring.”
Lavrov accused Western political leaders of “stirring up” anti-Russian feelings among their electorates, saying that their attitudes towards Russia “require a reevaluation.”
This commentary was posted on the Russia Today website at 1:13 p.m. Moscow time, which was 5:13 a.m. in New York. It's another offering from Roy S.
Russian oil company Gazprom Neft said it agreed Wednesday to accept rubles and the Chinese yuan for crude oil deliveries.
For exports from the Novoportovskoye field in the arctic, the company said it would accept the Russian currency, while China could use its own currency for oil delivered from the Eastern Siberia-Pacific Ocean pipeline.
The switch could help the Russian economy reduce its dependency on the U.S. dollar in an era when Western economies are imposing tough sanctions on Moscow in response to the ongoing crisis in Ukraine.
This brief UPI item appeared on their Internet site at 9:57 a.m. yesterday EDT?---and once again I thank Roy Stephens for bringing it to our attention.
The Russian Central Bank and the government’s financial and economic departments have prepared a bill to create a Russian analog of the SWIFT international financial message system, Deputy Finance Minister Alexei Moiseyev said on Wednesday.
“We have prepared a bill. We have consulted with the banking industry and the Central Bank,” Moiseyev said.
Russia will go ahead with the bill as soon as it becomes clear that the Central Bank is technologically prepared “to transfer all operations to internal processing inside Russia.”
Central Bank First Deputy Chairman Georgy Luntovsky said in July that SWIFT was discussing a possibility with the Russian regulator to establish an operational center in Russia. SWIFT Director for Russia, CIS and Mongolia Matvei Gering confirmed this information at that time.
This very interesting news story put in an appearance on the ITAR-TASS website at 3:06 p.m. Moscow time on Wednesday afternoon---and it's certainly worth reading. I thank 'David in California' for passing it around yesterday.
America’s spanker-in-chief is at it again—threatening to bomb Syria owing to the uncivilized actions of its inhabitants. And when it comes to Syria, Washington avers that there are punishable malefactors virtually everywhere within its borders.
Exactly one year ago Obama proposed to take Bashar Al Assad to the woodshed because he had allegedly unleashed a vicious chemical attack on his own citizens. That was all pretext, of course, because even the CIA refused to sign-off on the flimsy case for Assad’s culpability at the time—-a reluctance corroborated since then by the considerable evidence that hundreds of Syrian civilians were murdered during a false flag operation staged by the rebels with help from Turkey. The aim of the rebels, of course, was to activate American tomahawk missiles and bombers in behalf of “regime change”, which was also the stated goal of the Obama Administration.
Now the White House is threatening to bomb Syria again, but this time its “regime change” objective has been expanded to include both sides! In 12 short months what had been the allegedly heroic Sunni opposition to the “brutal rule” of the Assad/Alawite minority has transmuted into the “greatest terrorist threat ever”, according to the Secretary of Defense.
So Obama has already unleashed the drones and surveillance apparatus to identify targets of attack that will help bring down a regime in northern and eastern Syria—the so-called Islamic State—which did not even exist a year ago. And a regime that is now armed to the teeth with America’s own latest and greatest weaponry as previously supplied to the disintegrated Iraqi army and the Syrian rebels trained by the CIA in Jordan.
This commentary by David showed up on his Internet site yesterday sometime---and it's worth reading as well. I thank Roy Stephens for his second-last contribution to today's column.
U.S. officials are taking a wary view of the disclosure this week that Iran – one of four countries the United States accuses of supporting terrorism – has begun arming the Kurdish Regional Government in northern Iraq, as the Kurds scramble to combat the threat posed by ISIS.
ISIS, also known as the Islamic State, has seized large swaths of territory in Syria and Iraq, and recently came close to overrunning Erbil, the capital of the KRG in the semi-autonomous Kurdish region. It was the immediate threat to Erbil, where the U.S. has a number of diplomats stationed, that prompted President Obama to launch airstrikes against ISIS.
While the Kurds are grateful for American intervention, they also say the central Iraqi government in Baghdad has starved them of cash and military hardware in this time of grave threat. “We asked for weapons and Iran was the first country to provide us with weapons and ammunition," KRG President Massoud Barzani said during an appearance in Erbil on Tuesday with Iran’s foreign minister.
It's hard to know what is fact---and what is propaganda. This news item appeared on the foxnews.com Internet site on Wednesday sometime---and I thank reader M.A. for his final offering in today's column.
Constructive relations between Russia and China are important for international stability and security, the head of Russia’s General Staff of the Armed Forces, Valery Gerasimov, said after talks with his Chinese counterpart Fang Fenghui and Vice Central Military Commission Chairman Fan Changlong in Beijing Wednesday.
“We put great importance on the development of military links with China. Russia highly appreciates the state of and the prospects for the military departments’ cooperation. Today, this is especially important,” Gerasimov told the press.
Among other issues, the general staff chiefs discussed regional security.
“The military and political state of the region is characterized by the high pace and contradictory character of events. On the one hand, the intention to search for new forms of political and economic interaction is increasing. On the other, there is a political tension in the region Gerasimov said.
This rather short article showed up on the RIA Novosti website at 7:59 p.m. Moscow time on their Wednesday evening, which was 11:59 a.m. in New York.
The first interview is with Dr. Philippa Malmgren---and it's headlined: "Ex-White House Official - Tragedy, Chaos and Human Suffering". The second is with Keith Barron---and it's entitled: "We Are Now Living in a World That is Teetering on the Brink".
[Please direct any questions or comments about what is said in these interviews by either Eric King or his guests to them, and not to me. Thank you. - Ed]
Learning that U.S. Navy commissioning coins were made in China is more than Middle Paxton Twp. resident Gene Stilp can tolerate.
The citizen activist doesn't like seeing the "Made in China" label on any product, knowing it signals the continued erosion of America's manufacturing base. But having the United States military buying Chinese-made commemorative coins is an insult to those who wear its uniforms, he said.
On Monday, Stilp asked U.S. Sen. Bob Casey, D-Pa., to push for a federal law barring any branch of the military from buying collectible coins minted outside the nation's borders.
This interesting article was posted on the pennlive.com Internet site on Tuesday evening EDT---and I thank Elliot Simon for bringing it to our attention.
GoldMoney research director Alasdair Macleod, interviewed by financial journalist Lars Schall for Matterhorn Asset Management's Gold Switzerland, offers what he considers the three primary reasons for owning gold.
But just as interesting, Macleod argues that the London gold market is declining because of its lack of transparency, that gold will remain money if only because Asia increasingly says so, that countries are beginning to realize that they cannot be independent if they rely on the U.S. dollar and U.S.-controlled payment systems, and that Germany's Bundesbank has made itself ridiculous by its inability to recover its gold from custody by the United States.
Schall's interview with Macleod is 17 minutes long and can be viewed at the goldswitzerland.com Internet site. I thank Chris Powell for wordsmithing the above paragraphs of introduction.
A judge has dismissed London Metal Exchange Ltd as a defendant from U.S. antitrust litigation accusing banks and commodity companies of conspiring to drive up aluminum prices by restricting supply, hurting manufacturers and purchasers.
In a decision made public on Tuesday, U.S. District Judge Katherine Forrest in Manhattan concluded that the LME was an "organ" of the U.K. government, and therefore immune from the lawsuit under the Foreign Sovereign Immunities Act.
Forrest acknowledged that her decision may at first glance seem "somewhat surprising and counterintuitive," noting that the LME is a privately-held, for-profit company subject to extensive regulation. But she said the relevant case law "tips decidedly" toward a grant of immunity, noting that the LME is required by law to perform "the decidedly public function of market regulation".
This Reuters piece, filed from New York, put in an appearance on their website at 2:35 p.m. on Tuesday afternoon EDT---and I found it on the gata.org Internet site yesterday.
South Africa’s Witwatersrand basin contains another 1.3-billion ounces of gold, almost as much gold as has been mined there since 1886 – but miners can only get to another 200-million ounces of it using today’s mining methods.
If the industry does not come up with a new way of mining, more than a trillion dollars worth of gold will not be mined, because the 1.1-billion ounces in question are either below the cutoff for the current mining method, or they are at depths where there are no technical solutions to get to mine those ounces.
Moreover, safety has reached a plateau and unless significant change is made to what creates this plateau, death and injury in mines will continue, which is totally unacceptable.
There is thus an absolute need to change – and senior VP technology and projects Shaun Newberry is at the forefront of an AngloGold Ashanti move that could result in all three billion Wits basin ounces being mined and not merely 1.9 billion of them.
A much higher gold price wouldn't hurt, either. But as reader B.V. pointed out in an e-mail exchange we had yesterday, that's not the real issue here. This very interesting article appeared on the miningweekly.com Internet site yesterday sometime---and my thanks go out to reader B.V. for bringing it to my attention---and now to yours.
Gold researcher and GATA consultant Koos Jansen reports that silver prices reported from Shanghai have been including a 17-percent sales tax, complicating their comparison to prices outside the country. Jansen writes that he'll be investigating this subject.
His commentary was posted on the Singapore-based Internet site bullionstar.com Internet site at 5:00 p.m. local time on their Tuesday afternoon. It's another article I found on the gata.org Internet site yesterday.
You may be familiar with the story of how the U.S. government confiscated gold bullion and then made owning it illegal back in 1933.
Actually this event is more accurately termed a nationalization. Americans were forced under harsh penalties to sell their gold at an artificially low “official price.” If it were an outright confiscation, the government would have just taken the gold without giving anything in return. But no matter how you label it, the end result was the same: the theft of purchasing power.
Many have speculated that the U.S. government could once again turn to gold confiscation/nationalization if it became desperate enough. These fears are not unfounded given the abysmal financial situation of the U.S. government that only continues to get worse, coupled with a total lack of political will to cut spending.
But would the US government really turn to a 1933-style grab again?
I would argue that they wouldn’t, but that doesn’t mean the threat to your gold has diminished. Quite the opposite.
This commentary by International Man senior editor Nick Giambruno appeared on his Internet site yesterday---and is certainly a must read.
One can debate whether or not margin debt as reported by the NYSE has any relevance in a world in which the retail investor is long gone, and where the marginal buyer are hedge funds (and primary dealers who use excess reserves as collateral for marginable derivatives and futures) who fund themselves using far more arcane "shadow" repo conduits as we have explained previously, it is indisputable that the leverage statistics disclosed monthly by New York Stock Exchange provide a useful glimpse into how the broader market is obtaining "dry powder" to keep BTFATH.
And while in July margin debt did dip modestly from near all time highs hit back in June when total margin debt was virtually tied with the previous record, at $464 billion, it was that other metric tracked by the NYSE, namely Investor Net Worth, calculated by subtracting margin debt from the notional represented in free credit cash accounts and credit balances in margin accounts, that was the notable highlight in the July report: at a negative $182.1 billion, a decline of $6.3 billion from the prior month, investor Net Worth has never been lower.
This happens to be a deficit which is more than twice as large as the net worth shortfall reached during the last market bubble, which hit ($79) billion, peaking during the quant freakout in the summer of 2007 and subsequently surging to a record high of $184.6 billion in August 2008, as repo desks closed all margin positions with virtually any and every counterparty, leaving everyone in a position of record high "net worth."
This short, but very interesting article, with a 'must see' chart, appeared on the Zero Hedge website at 3:25 p.m. EDT yesterday afternoon---and today's first story is courtesy of reader M.A.
This 39:21 minute audio interview conducted by Geoff Rutherford---along with a transcript---was posted on the sprottmoney.com Internet site yesterday.
Moments ago a stunning article appearing in the "Foreign Affairs" publication of the influential and policy-setting Council of Foreign Relations, titled "Print Less but Transfer More: Why Central Banks Should Give Money Directly to the People."
In it we read the now conventional admission of failure by Keynesians, who however, unwilling to actually admit they have been wrong, urge the even more conventional solution: do more of the same that has lead to the current financial cataclysm, only in this case the authors advocate no longer pretending that the traditional monetary channels work but to, literally, para-drop money. To wit:
To some extent, low inflation reflects intense competition in an increasingly globalized economy. But it also occurs when people and businesses are too hesitant to spend their money, which keeps unemployment high and wage growth low. In the eurozone, inflation has recently dropped perilously close to zero. And some countries, such as Portugal and Spain, may already be experiencing deflation. At best, the current policies are not working; at worst, they will lead to further instability and prolonged stagnation.
Governments must do better. Rather than trying to spur private-sector spending through asset purchases or interest-rate changes, central banks, such as the Fed, should hand consumers cash directly. In practice, this policy could take the form of giving central banks the ability to hand their countries’ tax-paying households a certain amount of money. The government could distribute cash equally to all households or, even better, aim for the bottom 80 percent of households in terms of income. Targeting those who earn the least would have two primary benefits. For one thing, lower-income households are more prone to consume, so they would provide a greater boost to spending. For another, the policy would offset rising income inequality.
This is the first of two absolutely positively must reads today---and this one is the second contribution of the day from reader M.A.
The Daily Reckoning presents… Steve Forbes' Intelligent Investing with Jim Grant, editor of Grant’s Interest Rate Observer
Forbes: Tell us, what is going on? We’ve had the worst recovery from a sharp downturn in U.S. history. Yet the monetary base has exploded far in excess of what it did in the ’70s and yet we haven’t had an explosion, at least in the Consumer Price Index. Gold is down from its highs of three years ago. Stocks are at a record high. What you call the taper tantrum, now the markets are in seeming calm about that. So what in the world is happening?
Grant: Well, I think first and foremost the patient is over-medicated. That is, the economic patient. Stimulus, by the bottle full, by the prescription fill, gradually and by degree are (and I guess not so gradually) the Federal Reserve has moved to substitute price administration for price discovery. And it seems to me that the Fed’s kind of full-court pressed (to switch metaphors) on financial markets and pricing thereof has induced a deep complacency with respect to financial assets and has also introduced a sharp degree of optimism or what we might call even inflation in the financial markets.
I certainly can’t explain why, to date, no such inflation has been visible or very little has been visible in the consumer realm. But you know one would almost expect that in this day and age of miraculous digital enhancements to everything we do and the related improvements and the efficiency of production that prices would, in the absence of these monetary insertions, actually fall, or at least dwindle a little bit. So I suppose that a little bit of inflation is itself an anomaly one ought to have seen, kind of a dividend for the working guy in the shape of low and everyday lower prices.
The video interview runs for 34:26 minutes---and there's a transcript as well. It was posted on the dailyreckoning.com Internet site on Monday---and I thank West Virginia reader Elliot Simon for sending it our way.
The government is very good at making things overly complicated for the purpose of obscuring what’s really going on from the public,” observed hedge fund manager Erik Townsend during our interview in May.
He was making a point about the 2008 bailouts. The Federal Reserve played a leading role, applying trillions in paper-clip and rubber-band solutions. The Fed’s balance sheet swelled from $900 billion in September 2008 to $4.4 trillion as we go to press.
Luckily for you, our friend Jim Rickards is just as good at elucidating the muddled world of finance as the government is at obscuring them.
“Since Federal Reserve resources were barely able to prevent complete collapse in 2008,” Jim writes in his recent New York Times best-seller, The Death of Money, “it should be expected that an even larger collapse will overwhelm the Fed’s balance sheet.”
Simply put, next time, printing another $3 trillion-plus won’t be politically feasible. “The specter of the sovereign debt crisis suggests the urgency for new liquidity sources, bigger than those that central banks can provide, the next time a liquidity crisis strikes. The logic leads quickly from one world to one bank to one currency for the planet.”
This interview/commentary by Jim Rickards was done by The Daily Reckoning's Addison Wiggin---and it was posted on their website a week ago today. I thank Carl Lindfors for sharing this item with us.
This fascinating video interview runs for 29:05 minutes---and it was posted on the goldswitzerland.com Internet site yesterday. Even though I've been posting his columns from The Telegraph for almost a decade, it's the first time I've ever seen him "in the flesh" so to speak, or even heard what his voice sounded like.
I've just watched the first bit---and will watch the rest after I get out of bed later this morning. From what I've heard so far, it's definitely worth watching.
Scotland's pro-independence leader Alex Salmond on Monday (25 August) was seen as the winner of a final TV debate before a referendum which could lead to the creation of a new EU member state.
The BBC debate, spiced up by heckling from the audience, saw Salmond continuously interrupting and contradicting Alistair Darling, a former British minister who is head of the "Better Together" campaign to keep Scotland in the U.K.
"If we are Better Together, why are we not better together already?" an audience member shouted at one point.
A snap poll by ICM Research found that 71 percent of viewers said Salmond had won the debate, which took place in Glasgow, Scotland's largest city. Darling, the winner of the previous TV debate, only convinced 29 percent of the polled viewers.
This article appeared on the euobserver.com Internet site at 9:30 a.m. Europe time on Tuesday---and it's courtesy of Roy Stephens.
France's prime minister reshuffled his Cabinet on Tuesday to silence ministers who had openly criticized Socialist President Francois Hollande's economic policies as he tries to pull the nation out of stagnation and steer it toward growth.
Emmanuel Macron, who had earlier served as top adviser in charge of the economy, took over the Economy Ministry, replacing Arnaud Montebourg, who had publicly railed against government policies as being too austere and unjust to the French.
Macron, a 36-year-old former banker who advised Hollande until June 2014, is known for his pro-business stance and is sure to send a positive signal to the European Union, which is pressuring France to get its finances in order.
Education Minister Benoit Hamon and Culture Minister Aurelie Filippetti, who supported Montebourg in his criticism, also lost their jobs.
This AP story, filed from Paris, showed up on their website at 4:10 p.m. EDT on Tuesday---and it's also courtesy of Roy Stephens.
Business confidence in Germany, which has led the E.U. economic revival over the last year, declined for a fourth month in August, which further clouded prospects of a broader recovery across the E.U.
Germany’s Ifo Business Climate Index in manufacturing, which looks at the confidence of the country’s 7,000 firms, fell to 106.3 in August from 108 in July.
It’s the lowest figure since last July, marking the longest successive monthly decline since 2012, the report said.
Monday’s figures come after frustrating economic data for the second quarter. It showed Europe’s biggest economy contracted 0.2 percent during the period, after it grew 0.7 percent in the first quarter. Much of the unexpected drop is attributed to the effects of the crisis in Ukraine that has led to a tough 'sanctions war.' Even after the disappointing second quarter, Germany believes it will achieve 1.8 percent growth this year. By contrast, the UK, which is not part of the euro currency zone, showed its strongest quarterly economic growth in 6 years, with 0.8 percent in the second quarter.
This article appeared on the Russia Today website at 3:01 p.m. Moscow time on their Tuesday afternoon, which was 7:01 a.m. EDT. It's another offering courtesy of Roy Stephens.
The European Union is not concerned by the possibility of Kiev halting Russian gas transit via Ukraine, the vice-president of the European Commission responsible for energy, Gunther Oettinger, said in Minsk Tuesday.
There is no actual concern,” he said on the sidelines of the Customs Union-Ukraine-EU meeting in the Belarusian capital.
Last month, the Ukrainian parliament passed a bill allowing to impose restrictive measures on Russia, including the possibility of halting transit of Russian oil and gas via the territory of Ukraine.
This RIA Novosti news item, filed from Minsk, put in an appearance on their Internet site at 11:28 p.m. Moscow time on their Tuesday night---and once again I thank Roy Stephens for sending it our way.
Russia, Ukraine and the European Union agreed to continue the three-party talks on gas issues that stalled this summer, Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak said Tuesday.
The three-party consultations continued from mid-April to June, but produced no result. Kiev insisted on a sharp reduction in the gas price refusing otherwise to pay its debt that had reached at the moment $4.5 billion. Russia later offered a discount, which however, failed to satisfy Kiev’s demands. After that the Russian side announced it would continue negotiation only after Kiev cleared its debt. On June 16, Gazprom introduced a prepayment system for gas deliveries to the country.
The European Commission has repeatedly called for the consultations to be resumed.
This article, also filed from Minsk, was posted on the RIA Novosti website at 7:40 p.m. Moscow time on their Tuesday evening---and I thank Roy Stephens for sending it.
Goods embargoed by Moscow in response to Western economic sanctions are being actively shipped to Moscow via Belarus, Russian President Vladimir Putin said Tuesday.
"Even within the Customs Union framework, embargoed goods are being actively re-imported to the Russian Federation from the European Union countries, namely via Belarus," Putin said.
"I know that the leadership of Belarus and its president are trying to prevent this negative practice."
The Russian leader added that exporters often replace an E.U. label with a new one and send the goods to Russia.
This RIA Novosti news item, also filed from Minsk, showed up on their website at 7:39 p.m. Moscow time yesterday---and the stories from Roy just keep on coming.
The meeting between Russian President Vladimir Putin and his Ukrainian counterpart Petro Poroshenko came to an end in the Belarusian capital Minsk; the private conversation of the two leaders lasted for about two hours.
“The meeting is over,” the Russian leader’s spokesman Dmitry Peskov said withholding though any further comments on the results of the talks.
Following the Customs Union-Ukraine-E.U. meeting, Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko told journalists that Russia and Ukraine “had agreed on a private meeting between the presidents of the two countries to discuss urgent issues.”
Earlier Spokesman Peskov said that the two leaders may discuss the crisis in Ukraine, humanitarian aid to the country’s eastern regions, the flow of refugees to Russia, and the possibility of an internal dialogue between Kiev and eastern Ukraine. Apart from that, during the talks the Kremlin was expected to discuss the bilateral cooperation between Moscow and Kiev following Ukraine’s signing the Association Agreement with the European Union.
Another RIA Novosti news item, also filed from Minsk yesterday afternoon---but this one is courtesy of reader M.A. for a change.
Switching over to E.U. trade standards and nixing duty-free trade with Russia will cost Ukraine €165 billion over the next 10 years, President Putin warned at a meeting with President Petro Poroshenko in Minsk on Tuesday.
Russia will be forced to cancel all preferential trade agreements for Ukraine’s imports and switch to a standard regime when it ratifies its E.U. trade association agreement in September, the President said.
“In full accordance with the terms of agreement with the CIS free trade zone and WTO standards, we will be forced to cancel preferential imports from Ukraine,” Putin said.
Russia will cancel its duty-free relationship with Ukraine, which will lead to import tariffs of up to 8 percent affecting 98 percent of commodities.
This article was posted on the Russia Today website at 12:42 p.m. Moscow time on their Tuesday afternoon, which was 4:32 a.m. EDT. I thank Roy Stephens for sending it our way.
The New York Times has taken deep umbrage over an unseemly parade staged by ethnic Russian rebels in eastern Ukraine featuring captured Ukrainian soldiers. The Times noted that the Geneva Conventions prohibit humiliation of POWs, surely a valid point.
But the Times – in its profoundly biased coverage of the Ukraine crisis – apparently feels that other aspects of this nasty civil war are less newsworthy, such as the Kiev government’s bombardment of eastern Ukrainian cities sending the death toll into the thousands, including children and other non-combatants. Also downplayed has been Kiev’s dispatch of neo-Nazi storm troopers to spearhead the urban combat in ethnic Russian towns and cities in the east.
When the Times finally noticed this street-fighting role of neo-Nazi militias, that remarkable fact – the first time armed Nazis were dispatched by any government to kill people in Europe since World War II – was consigned to the last three paragraphs of a long article on a different topic, essentially a throwaway reference.
Similarly, the Kiev regime’s artillery fire on residential areas – killing many civilians and, over the weekend, damaging a hospital – has been treated by the Times as a minor afterthought. But Times’ readers are supposed to get worked up over the tasteless demonstration in Donetsk, all the better to justify more killing of ethnic Russians.
This commentary by Robert Parry was posted on David Stockman's website yesterday sometime---and it's another contribution from Roy Stephens.
Foreign rating agencies may need to set up subsidiaries in Russia instead of branches or representative offices, so their operations could be subject to Russian legislation. It is seen as another attempt by Russia to better control its domestic finances.
The Central Bank of Russia has proposed a bill that would regulate operations of rating agencies in Russia, Kommersant reports.
Moody`s, S&P and Fitch acknowledged the receipt of the draft law but declined to comment. If the bill becomes law it would be the first regulation of the sort in Russia.
Central to the bill is that the international rating agencies will have to create Russian subsidiaries, which will be Russian legal entities.
This Russia Today article appeared on their Internet site at 12:54 p.m. Moscow time on their Tuesday afternoon---and my thanks go out to Roy Stephens once again.
NATO is to deploy its forces at new bases in eastern Europe for the first time, in response to the Ukraine crisis and in an attempt to deter Vladimir Putin from causing trouble in the former Soviet Baltic republics, according to its secretary general.
Anders Fogh Rasmussen said the organisations' summit in Cardiff next week would overcome divisions within the alliance and agree to new deployments on Russia's borders – a move certain to trigger a strong reaction from Moscow.
He also outlined moves to boost Ukraine's security, "modernise" its armed forces and help the country counter the threat from Russia.
This story appeared on The Guardian Internet site at 9:04 p.m. BST on Tuesday evening---and it's the final offering of the day from Roy Stephens.
In my essay "Why they are making an enemy of Russia?," we looked at two of the key reasons why the U.S. is making an enemy of Russia, namely the promotion of conflict by the powerful Defense industry lobby in order to keep its order books full, and the value of conjuring up an external enemy as a hate figure for the masses, in order to take the heat off the government. In this article we are going to look at what is arguably an even bigger reason, that was largely omitted in the earlier article, which is that Russia, in alliance with China, is threatening to bring an end to the dollar as the global reserve currency, which would mean the end of the American empire.
We are witness to the greatest struggle of our age – the battle to maintain global dollar hegemony, and with it U.S. economic, military and political dominance of the entire planet – and this struggle is now coming to a head.
Notwithstanding its undeniably great accomplishments of the past hundred years, the relationship of the United States to the rest of the world is parasitic. This is because it creates money and debt instruments out of nothing, requiring virtually no effort, which it then swaps for goods and services with other countries. Because the U.S. dollar is the global reserve currency, it is able to rack up astronomic deficits that would be untenable for any other country. U.S. debts are now at such levels that if the U.S. dollar loses its reserve currency status, the United States economy will implode and it will quickly be reduced to the status of a banana republic – hence the sense of urgency in the face of growing threats.
I'd never seen Clyde write a thing except about gold and silver as long as I've been following his work. So when this piece showed up on the gata.org Internet site yesterday, I was more than skeptical about it. That all changed after just two paragraphs. This rather long essay is the second absolutely positively must read commentary in today's column, as it describes the end game of the New Great Game perfectly.
The U.S. has started flying surveillance drones over Syria after President Obama authorized the missions, two senior Defense officials told Fox News, in a move that could pave the way for eventual airstrikes against Islamic State targets in the country.
A decision still has not been made, at least publicly, to launch airstrikes in Syria. But the Obama administration would likely need additional intelligence on possible targets should the president take that step.
Sources told Fox News that Obama approved surveillance missions in Syria for the first time over the weekend; they have since begun.
It remains to be seen whether the Syrian government will raise any objections to the move. On Monday, the Syrian regime demanded that the U.S. seek permission before launching any airstrikes on its territory against Islamic State targets, but did not discuss its position on surveillance drones.
This news item, including at 6:21 minute embedded video clip, showed up on the foxnews.com Internet site on Tuesday---and it's the final offering of the day from reader M.A.
1. Jeffrey Saut: "People Forget One of Jesse Livermore's Greatest Trades Ever" 2. Stephen Leeb: "Expect Skyrocketing Gold as China and Russia Continue Buying" 3. Jean-Marie Eveillard: "Legend Warns More Shocking Global Chaos on the Horizon"
Three years ago GATA more or less won its freedom-of-information lawsuit in U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia against the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, in which GATA sought access to the Fed's records involving gold swaps.
While the court found that most of the Fed's records involving gold swaps were exempt from disclosure under the law, GATA's initial inquiry to the Fed produced an admission that the Fed indeed has secret gold swap arrangements with foreign banks and the court ordered disclosure of one record, the minutes of the April 1997 meeting of the G-10 Gold and Foreign Exchange Committee, at which Western treasury and central bank officials conspired to coordinate their policies in the gold market.
And a few days ago GATA's law firm, William J. Olson P.C. in Vienna, Virginia, received from the State Department a notice that the department has granted GATA's appeal and indeed will reopen its search for gold-related records.
Of course this whole process is silly and ridiculously slow, deliberately so to discourage embarrassing disclosures about the U.S. government's secret involvement in the gold market. But the process establishes, if with great difficulty, that something is going on here and that the government is so desperate to conceal it as to risk looking ridiculous.
This process also establishes again that the crucial prerequisite of the Western gold price suppression scheme is the cooperation of the mainstream financial news media, their agreement not to commit ordinary journalism when it comes to surreptitious intervention by Western governments and central banks in the gold and currency markets.
This commentary by Chris Powell showed up in a GATA release yesterday---and it's definitely worth your while if you have the time.
By all accounts in the mainstream media, gold demand in Asia, and in particular in China and India, has been slipping dramatically this year which some see as the principal reason behind current price weakness. But all may not be as the reports suggest. Is Chinese demand, as suggested by the enormous slippage in gold imports though Hong Kong really as bad as the figures appear to show?
Reuters reports Hong Kong net gold exports to mainland China in July as falling to the lowest level since June 2011 at 22 tonnes (Bloomberg reports the figure as 21 tonnes). Compare this with the heady days last year when such gold imports exceeded 100 tonnes monthly for 6 months in a row from May to October. If this is an accurate indication of Chinese gold demand weakness then this is indeed something of a blow for gold bulls.
But, China has moved the goalposts. While Hong Kong was very much the primary routing for gold entering the Chinese mainland in the past, indications are that this may no longer be the case as China has now designated a number of other points as import points for gold – notably Shanghai and Beijing. But as it does not publish statistics for these, overall import figures are much more opaque.
This commentary by Lawrie showed up on the mineweb.com Internet site in the wee hours of Tuesday morning MDT. I saw it in time to post it in Tuesday's column, but I was already full up, so here it is now. It's certainly worth reading. [Note: when I was editing today's column at 4:45 a.m. EDT, the mineweb.com Internet site was down]
The conclusion is simple – the asset requiring the least amount of buying to create a bubble is, automatically, the best candidate for developing into the biggest bubble. The fuel for any bubble is total (world) buying power versus the actual amount of an asset available for purchase. Previous, as well as prospective, bubbles in stocks, bonds and real estate grew to many trillions of dollars of total valuation. At $200 an ounce, all the silver in the world (bullion plus coins) would “only” amount to $400 billion, not even a rounding error to the total valuation of stocks, bonds, real estate and, even, gold. In other words, due to silver’s current undervaluation and its shockingly small amount in existence, it has more room to the upside than any other asset class.
But I’m not done. Silver’s unique dual role as a vital industrial material and primary investment asset creates a setup for something happening that has never occurred in any previous bubble. As and when sufficient physical investment buying develops in silver to drive prices significantly higher, the industrial consumers of silver, in everything from electrical and solar applications to medical and chemical applications, will likely be subject to delays in the customary delivery timelines of the metal. As is almost always the case, whenever industrial consumers of a commodity are deprived of timely deliveries, they resort to stockpiling that commodity as a remedy, further exacerbating delivery delays to other users.
Thus, the stage is set for something the world has never experienced previously – an asset bubble accompanied with an industrial shortage. The two greatest upward price forces known to man, an asset bubble and a genuine commodity shortage, appear set to combine in silver. Either one, alone, would have a profound impact on the price, but the combination seems both inevitable and almost impossible to contemplate in terms of how high the price of silver could be driven. And it’s hard to see how intense investment buying wouldn’t trip off industrial user attempted inventory stockpiling or vice versa; it doesn’t matter which comes first.
I've already borrowed many paragraphs from this 20 August 2014 Ted Butler commentary as my 'Quote of the Day.' Now I don't have to steal it in bite-sized chunks, as Taki Tsaklanos has published the entire article over on the goldsilverworlds.com Internet site. It is, of course, an absolute must read.