From his desk in Lower Manhattan, a banker at Goldman Sachs thumbed through confidential documents — courtesy of a source inside the United States government.
The banker came to Goldman through the so-called revolving door, the symbolic portal that connects financial regulators to Wall Street. He joined in July after spending seven years as a regulator at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, the government’s front line in overseeing the financial industry. He received the confidential information, lawyers briefed on the matter suspect, from a former colleague who was still working at the New York Fed.
The previously unreported leak, recounted in interviews with the lawyers briefed on the matter who spoke anonymously because the episode is not public, illustrates the blurred lines between Wall Street and the government — and the potential conflicts of interest that can result. When Goldman hired the former New York Fed regulator, who is 29, it assigned him to advise the same type of banks that he once policed. And the banker obtained confidential information, along with several publicly available facts, in the course of assignments from his bosses at Goldman, the lawyers said.
This news item appeared on The New York Times website at 9:10 p.m. EST on Wednesday evening---and I found it embedded in a GATA release yesterday morning. It's worth reading.
Moments ago, in the aftermath of the latest scandal involving Goldman's Rohit Bansal getting material information from a NY Fed employee, finally admitted that the original Carmen Segarra "whistleblower" allegations, namely that there was a material weakness (as in it is non-existent) when it comes to the NY Fed's supervision of TBTF banks, by which we mean Goldman Sachs here, were founded and valid when at 4pm on the dot the NY Fed released this:
The Federal Reserve Board on Thursday announced two separate reviews that are underway at the Federal Reserve System to ensure that the examinations of large banking organizations are consistent, sound, and supported by all relevant information.
This Zero Hedge commentary from yesterday is worth your while as well---and it showed up on their Internet site at 4:43 p.m. yesterday afternoon EST---and I thank Washington state reader S.A. for sending it. There was a similar story in the Financial Times which I found in a GATA release yesterday. It's headlined "On the night before hearing, Fed asks if it's too much the tool of investment banks".
Upstate New York is about to be inundated, again, with something chilling: Snow. Meteorologists are predicting another three feet on top of the five-feet-plus already burying Buffalo.
Gov. Andrew Cuomo is calling the early-season snow that has blanketed northern New York and killed seven people a "historic event" that's bound to break records. Deaths have also been reported in Maine, Michigan and elsewhere in the U.S., bringing the toll so far linked to the extreme weather to 20.
Some Buffalo-area residents have been trapped in their snow-bound cars or homes for almost two days. Some 140 miles of Interstate 90, the main artery running across New York, remained closed, from Rochester to the New York-Pennsylvania state line.
This amount of snow if almost unimaginable---and an 'historic event' it is. This story was posted on the upi.com Internet site at 4:36 a.m. EST on Thursday morning---and it's the first offering of the day from Roy Stephens.
The impossible is possible. Never say never.
Wall Street bankers are staring agog at headlines coming from Europe where, in Iceland, the former chief executive of one of the largest banks in the country which was involved in crashing the economy in 2008 has been sentenced to jail time.
As Valuewalk reports, in receiving a one year prison sentence, Sigurjon Arnason officially became the first bank executive to be convicted of manipulating the bank’s stock price and deceiving investors, creditors and the authorities between Sept. 29 and Oct. 3, 2008, as the bank’s fortunes unwound, crashing the economy with it.
It appears he was as shocked by the verdict as Wall Street-ers are, "this sentence is a big surprise to me as I did nothing wrong."
Of course all bankers are as pure as the freshly fallen snow---and it would take no time at all to fill up the world's jails with the crooks inside the world's banking community. This Zero Hedge article appeared on their website at 10:02 p.m. last night EST---and I thank Harry Grant for sending it our way late last night.
The Internal Revenue Service reportedly wants London Mayor Boris Johnson to write a check for taxes he owes to the United States government, but the UK politician says he isn’t paying.
Johnson, 50, has been the mayor of London since 2008 and is considering a bid at Parliament in the near future. In the meantime, however, he might soon find himself in hot water on the other side of the pond. Johnson, who was born in New York but moved at the age of five, told NPR host Susan Page during an interview last week that the US wants him to pay a capital gains tax owed by American citizens who earn income abroad.
Previously, Johnson wrote in a 2006 column that he was “getting a divorce from America” and would renounce his citizenship, noting “for years I have travelled exclusively on a British passport,” and not the US-issued one he also holds. That threat failed to materialize, but a question emailed to the mayor while he was being interviewed by NPR recently might have rekindled his interest — and without a doubt revealed another issue that has peculiarly pitted Johnson against the IRS.
“It is very hard but I will say this: the great United States of America does have some pretty tough rules, you know,” Johnson said. “You may not believe this but if you're an American citizen, America exercises this incredible doctrine of global taxation, so that even though tax rates in the UK are far higher and I'm Mayor of London, I pay all my tax in the UK and so I pay a much higher proportion of my income in tax, then I would if I lived in America.”
This very interesting story put in an appearance on the Russia Today website at 5:26 p.m. Moscow time on their Thursday afternoon, which was 9:26 a.m. in New York. It's the second offering of the day from Roy Stephens.
A decision by UK charity Save the Children to give Tony Blair its annual Global Legacy Award has unleashed a torrent of criticism highlighting the former PM’s role in Britain’s 2003 Iraq war and his controversial business dealings in the Middle East.
The former Labour leader, who is currently a key focus of a public inquiry into Britain’s invasion of Iraq, received the honor on Wednesday night at a star-studded gala hosted by the charity in New York.
Save the Children’s decision to offer Blair the award has provoked outrage across the UK, with critics insisting the move utterly discredits the charity.
This article was posted on the Russia Today Internet site at 6:17 p.m. Moscow time on their Thursday evening---and once again I thank Roy Stephens for sharing it with us.
UKIP has its second elected MP at Westminster after Mark Reckless won the Rochester and Strood by-election.
Mr Reckless received 16,867 votes, 2,920 more than Conservative candidate Kelly Tolhurst's 13,947, with Labour's Naushabah Khan third on 6,713.
The Green Party came fourth, while the Lib Dems got their lowest total ever.
Mr Reckless, whose defection from the Tories to UKIP triggered the contest in Kent, said: "If UKIP can win here, we can win across the country."
This news item appeared on the bbc.com Internet site at 2:42 a.m. EST this morning---and I thank Harry Grant for his second contribution to today's column.
The Dutch government has refused to reveal details of a secret pact between members of the Joint Investigation Team examining the downed Flight MH17. If the participants, including Ukraine, don’t want information to be released, it will be kept secret.
The respected Dutch publication Elsevier made a request to the Dutch Ministry of Security and Justice under the Freedom of Information Act to disclose the Joint Investigation Team (JIT) agreement, along with 16 other documents. The JIT consists of four countries - the Netherlands, Belgium, Australia and Ukraine - who are carrying out an investigation into the MH17 disaster, but not Malaysia. Malaysian Airlines, who operated the flight, has been criticized for flying through a war zone.
Part of the agreement between the four countries and the Dutch Public Prosecution Service, ensures that all these parties have the right to secrecy. This means that if any of the countries involved believe that some of the evidence may be damaging to them, they have the right to keep this secret.
“Of course [it is] an incredible situation: how can Ukraine, one of the two suspected parties, ever be offered such an agreement?” Dutch citizen Jan Fluitketel wrote in the newspaper Malaysia Today.
Wow! You couldn't make this stuff up! This Russia Today news item was posted on their website at 12:41 p.m. Moscow time on their Thursday afternoon---and it's courtesy of reader 'h c'. It's worth reading.
Second Mistral-class amphibious assault ship built in France under contract with Russia was floated out Thursday, a RIA Novosti correspondent reported.
The helicopter carrier, named the Sevastopol, left its dry dock in the French port city of Saint-Nazaire before just a few onlookers, our correspondent noted.
Russia and France signed the $1.5 billion deal for two Mistral-class ships in June 2011. The first carrier, the Vladivostok, is expected to join the Russian Navy by the end of this year, while the Sevastopol is due to arrive in Russia in 2015.
But the deal has been in jeopardy after the West slapped Russia with economic sanctions over Ukraine. French President Francois Hollande in October threatened to suspend the deliveries of the ships, citing Russia’s alleged involvement in the Ukrainian conflict — a claim that Moscow has repeatedly denied.
This story appeared on the sputniknews.com Internet site at 8:28 p.m. yesterday evening Moscow time---and it's also courtesy of Roy Stephens.
Polish fruit farmers blocked a road near Annopol and in Leokadiow in Lubelskie province in the southeastern part of the country on Tuesday, calling for more support from the Polish government after being hit hard by the Russian food embargo. Protesters brought traffic to a halt, moving along a crosswalk with banners, flags and placards.
In response to European sanctions, Russia imposed a one-year import ban on fresh produce from the EU in August. Prior to the embargo, Poland accounted for about 50 percent of apple imports to the Russian market.
The above two paragraphs are all there is to this brief news item that showed up on the Russia Today website at 3:50 p.m. Moscow time on their Wednesday afternoon. Once again I thank Roy Stephens for sending it.
The death rate in the Ukraine conflict has increased in the past eight weeks despite the declaration of a ceasefire in September, the United Nations said on Thursday.
In total, more than 4,300 combatants and civilians have been killed in eastern Ukraine since pro-Russian rebels seized border regions in April. Nearly a million people have fled the area, with a surge in the past two months, the U.N. said.
Since a formal ceasefire was agreed by Ukraine, Russia and the rebels in early September, an average of 13 soldiers, rebels, and civilians had died every day, a report by U.N. human rights monitors said.
This Reuters article, filed from Geneva, appeared on their Internet site at 9:07 a.m. EST yesterday---and it's courtesy of reader M.A.
Why is it that top Western leaders seem to have a tendency toward wisdom only after leaving top office?
During Putin's visit to Australia for the G20 meeting former Australian P.M. Paul Keating gave an interview to Australian TV starkly critical of NATO.
He heavily criticized the West for making a serious error in extending NATO at the end of the Cold War.
He thinks that current events are a result of that flawed decision.
This interesting article appeared on the russia-insider.com website yesterday sometime---and it's courtesy of Roy Stephens once again.
The E.U.’s attempts to coerce Serbia into joining anti-Russian sanctions are nothing but blackmail, says the head of the State Duma Foreign Affairs Committee.
“Presently the European Union is trying to force Serbia, which is not an E.U. member, to join their sanctions program. They are practically blackmailing Serbia: either it joins the sanctions against Russia or [the bloc] won’t see it as a country with a chance of joining the E.U.,” M.P. Aleksey Pushkov (United Russia) told reporters at a Thursday press conference in Moscow.
“The problem for Serbia is that in any case it has no prospects for joining the EU anytime soon. Even if they join the anti-Russian sanctions now, they would simply succumb to blackmailers and no one would accept them in the E.U. in one year for doing this,” he added.
The comments came after E.U.’s Enlargement Commissioner Johannes Hahn said that Serbia would have to join E.U. sanctions against Moscow if it wants to be part of the European Union.
This is another article from the Russia Today website---and this one was posted there at 10:43 a.m. Moscow time on their Thursday morning, which was 2:43 a.m. EST. Once again I thank Roy Stephens for bringing it to our attention---and it's certainly worth reading.
A state-owned Chinese company has signed a $12 billion agreement to build a railway along Nigeria's coast that it billed as China's single largest overseas contract, state media said Thursday.
China Railway Construction Corp. Ltd. (CRCC) signed the official construction contract with the Nigerian government on Wednesday in Abuja, the Xinhua news agency said.
The Nigerian railway will stretch for 1,402 kilometres (871 miles) along the coast, linking Lagos, the financial capital of Africa's largest economy and leading oil producer, and Calabar in the east, according to the report.
The $11.97 billion deal marks China's largest single overseas contract project so far, it said, citing CRCC.
This interesting article, filed from Beijing, appeared on the france24.com Internet site at 8:45 a.m. Europe time on their Thursday morning, which was 2:45 a.m. in New York. My thanks go out to South African reader B.V. for finding it for us.
Manufacturing activity in China stagnated in November, British banking giant HSBC said Thursday (Nov 20), warning of "significant" pressures on the world's second-largest economy as its key purchasing managers' index (PMI) hit a six-month low.
HSBC's preliminary PMI for the month came in at the 50.0 breakeven point dividing expansion and contraction, the bank said in a statement. It was lower than October's 50.4 and was the weakest reading since May's 49.4, according to the bank's data.
The index tracks activity in China's factories and workshops and is a closely watched indicator of the health of the economy, a key driver of global growth.
Protracted easing in new export order growth led output to contract for the first time in six months, while lingering deflationary pressures suggested domestic demand remained insufficient, Qu Hongbin, HSBC's economist in Hong Kong, said in the statement.
This news story put in an appearance on the channelnewsasia.com Internet site at 11:39 a.m. Singapore time on their Thursday morning---and it's the second offering of the day from reader M.A.
Brazil's Petrobras is the most indebted company in the world, a perfect barometer of the crisis enveloping the global oil and fossil nexus on multiple fronts at once.
PwC has refused to sign off on the books of this state-controlled behemoth, now under sweeping police probes for alleged graft, and rapidly crashing from hero to zero in the Brazilian press. The state oil company says funding from the capital markets has dried up, at least until auditors send a "comfort letter".
The stock price has dropped 87pc from the peak. Hopes of becoming the world's first trillion dollar company have deflated brutally. What it still has is the debt.
Moody's has cut its credit rating to Baa1. This is still above junk but not by much. Debt has jumped by $25bn in less than a year to $170bn, reaching 5.3 times earnings (EBITDA). Roughly $52bn of this has been raised on the global bond markets over the last five years from the likes of Fidelity, Pimco, and BlackRock.
This longish, but must read article by Ambrose Evans-Pritchard appeared on the telegraph.co.uk Internet site at 9:52 p.m. GMT on their Wednesday evening---and it's the final offering of the day from Roy Stephens. I thank him on your behalf, dear reader.
“One focus for the subcommittee is the management of Detroit-area metal warehouses run by Metro Trade Services International, the largest U.S. warehouse company certified to store aluminum warranted by the London Metal Exchange for use in settling trades.
Since Goldman bought Metro in 2010, Metro warehouses have accumulated up to 85 percent of the U.S. LME aluminum storage market...
Since Goldman took over the warehouses, the wait to withdraw LME-warranted metal has increased from about 40 days to more than 600 days, reducing aluminum availability and tripling the regional premium for storage and delivery costs...
The investigation revealed a number of previously unknown details about these deals: that Goldman’s warehouse company paid metal owners to engage in “merry-go-round” deals that shuttled metal from building to building without actually shipping aluminum out of Metro’s system; that the deals were approved by Metro’s board, which consisted entirely of Goldman employees; and that a Metro executive raised concerns internally about the appropriateness of such “queue management.
This news item was posted on the zerohedge.com Internet site at 9:28 a.m. EST yesterday---and it's courtesy of reader M.A.
Sales by the United States Mint to its authorized purchasers (APs) of 2014 American Eagle 1-ounce silver bullion dollar coins resumed Nov. 17, 12 days after being suspended because of a depleted inventory.
Sales resumed after the U.S. Mint was able to replenish its stockpile of coins. The U.S. Mint had 1,525,000 of the 2014 American Eagles silver dollars available Nov. 17 for APs to purchase on an allocation basis, and those purchasers bought 1,012,000 coins from the total allotted.
The U.S. Mint has experienced significantly increased investment demand over the past several weeks. Through the close of business Nov. 17, the Mint recorded cumulative sales of 40,393,000 of the silver American Eagles. Sales of the coins in 2014 are on track to break the 2013 sales record of 42,675,000 coins. (Cumulative sales may include coins minted in more than one year, so are not the same as yearly mintages.)
As I've said on many occasions all year long, this "investment demand" that they're talking about is NOT coming from John Q. Public. That narrows it down to Ted Butler's Big Buyer. This brief article appeared on the coinworld.com Internet site on Tuesday---and I thank reader Tolling Jennings for sharing it with us.
Some of the biggest price moves in gold since late October have, unusually, occurred in Asian hours and traders more accustomed to following the lead of their Western counterparts suspect a big increase in algorithmic trading may be to blame.
Sensitivity to the dollar-yen exchange rate may also help explain the moves, although some traders speculated that the timing looked suspiciously like attempts to catch Chinese traders off-guard during their lunch break.
Liquidity in Asia tends to be thin until Europe wakes up but recent weeks have been different: COMEX gold futures, the busiest gold contract in the world, have suffered sharp sell-offs in Asia, sometimes sparked by the news flow or currency moves but often for no identifiable reason.
"I have spoken to a lot of people about it and the general consensus seems to be that there is a big increase in algorithmic and high-frequency trading in this time zone nowadays as it can be quite easy to push about," he said.
It's JPMorgan et al---probably hand-in-hand with the BIS---and I've been writing about this for years. Only now does the main stream media get interested, but it's an absolute guarantee that they won't dig any deeper. This Reuters article, filed from Singapore, appeared on their website at 2:05 a.m. EST yesterday morning---and I found it in a GATA release.
From looking at rising SGE withdrawals and Indian import in recent months, we knew demand was increasing consistently and huge amounts of physical gold had to be supplied from somewhere. As I’ve written in a previous post, this type of gold demand can’t be met by just mine supply and so the metal has to be sourced from countries that have large stockpiles, the usual suspects: the U.K., Hong Kong and Switzerland.
In 2013 the U.K. was severely drained (net 1,424 tonnes), last week we learned Hong Kong became a net exporter since August 2014, the latest trade data from Switzerland shows the Swiss net exported 100 tonnes of fine gold in October---75 tonnes net to India and 45 tonnes net to China.
Customs data of the usual suspects (Switzerland, the U.K. and Hong Kong) is getting exciting; they can’t net export gold forever. We know there are often shortages in these trading hubs, it’s only the price of gold that tells us otherwise.
The Financial Times reported there are currently shortages in London, from November 14: As one refiner told me: “Over the past four weeks my cost of hedging has risen by 30 per cent. Not only that, but there is not enough liquidity in the physical market in London to settle my obligations as they come due. I have to fly gold from Zurich to London, because there just is not enough gold on offer in London. You never used to have to do that.”
The export numbers in the second paragraph don't add up, as 75 and 45 add up to 120 tonnes, so I'll be interested to see if Koos has an explanation for this in his next commentary. This was posted on the bullionstar.com Internet site yesterday sometime---and despite the above issue, it's definitely worth reading. I found it over at the gata.org Internet site.
GATA consultant and Bullion Star market analyst Koos Jansen got a prominent place this week in a report on gold broadcast on the "Een Vendaag" ("One Today") news program of the Netherlands public television network, Nederland 1.
The program had a nationwide audience in the Netherlands. It covered the Swiss Gold Initiative, substantial gold buying by China and Russia, the German Bundesbank's attempt to repatriate its gold from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, and the possibility of a transformation of the world financial system that would reintroduce gold in some form. The program is not quite 8 minutes long---and can be viewed at Bullion Star's Internet site.
The program is in Dutch but you can activate excellent English subtitles by clicking on the "CC" button at the bottom of the YouTube window---and there's a transcript as well. This is another story I found on the gata.org Internet site---and it's worth your while.
The Dutch central bank has secretly brought a large part of the national gold reserves being held in a secure depot in New York back to Amsterdam.
In total, 120 tonnes of gold valued at €4bn has been brought back to the Netherlands by ship, Nos television said.
The high security reparations for the move took months.
The central bank decided to bring some of its gold reserves back to the Netherlands to ensure a better spread, the bank said in a statement.
In addition, the bank hopes to boost consumer confidence by showing there is enough gold in the Netherlands to take the country through a new economic crisis.
So, why can't/won't Germany do the same thing. This story was posted on the dutchnews.nl website this morning--and I found it on the Sharps Pixley website.
A few weeks ago I heard a rumor that the Netherlands were repatriating some of their official gold reserves from the FRBNY. From one of my sources I even heard which security logistics company is shipping the metal, but I was kindly asked to not share this company’s name.
Last week I was approached by a financial journalist, Theo Besteman, from the biggest newspaper in The Netherlands, De Telegraaf. He asked me if I knew anything about the repatriation of Dutch gold from the FRBNY as he heard from several sources DNB was following the German central bank in repatriating gold (for the ones that are under the assumption Germany has ceased its repatriation program, please read this). I told him I heard some rumors about it and that the source was one of the big security logistics companies. He wanted to know which one, but I couldn’t tell him that. Apparently the rumors were true and Besteman did a good job finding out what was happening. The front page of De Telegraaf today: Gold Shipped In Utmost Secret.
De Telegraaf reports that for years there have been doubts at the DNB if the Dutch gold was still in New York. After a very secret and almost military operation DNB has shipped gold from Manhattan to Amsterdam, to bring about a more balanced allocation of its gold reserves and give the Dutchcitizensmore confidence by storing the goldon ownsoil to guidethe country, ifnecessary, through a following major crisis. In the previous weeks many armored trucks were seen at the DNB in Amsterdam.
The impact of the Dutch gold repatriation can be huge. First of all, because it underlines more and more countries are getting nervous about their gold reserves stored in the U.S. Venezuela repatriated most of its reserves from abroad in 2012, the year Germany also announced a repatriation schedule from the US and France. While Germany settled with the US to ship 300 tonnes spread over 8 years, the Dutch set a new trend to insist on immediate delivery. If more counties will follow there can be a global run on gold.
This commentary by Koos is also one I plucked from the Sharps Pixley website this morning---and it's an absolute must read. It was posted on the bullionstar.com Internet site late on their Friday evening.
Gold miners' costs are mostly higher than current spot prices, increasing the likelihood of write downs next year, according to Nick Holland, chief executive officer of Gold Fields Ltd.
Across the industry, costs are about $1,300 an ounce including debt repayments, Holland said by phone from Johannesburg today, citing analysts' research. Gold dropped 0.1 percent to $1,182 an ounce, bringing the decline since the beginning of 2013 to 29 percent.
"The industry by and large is under water," Holland said. "I would expect further write downs. Production I think will be curtailed but it will take some time to filter through the system."
Nick Holland certainly knows what's going on inside the gold market, but won't breath a word of it. This Bloomberg story, filed from Johannesburg, showed up on their website at 12:44 a.m. Denver time yesterday morning---and it's another gold-related story I found on the gata.org Internet site.
The U.S. posted a record inflow of long-term portfolio investments in September as the dollar strengthened and foreign buyers accumulated corporate debt, Treasurys and agency securities.
Foreigners bought a net $164.3 billion in long-term financial assets after $52.1 billion in purchases in August, the Treasury Department said in a statement Tuesday in Washington. The previous record was an inflow of $139.7 billion in March 2010.
The figures suggest the U.S. is luring investors with economic growth that’s outpacing other developed nations, as the euro area faces low inflation and slack demand and Japan copes with a recession. The data also showed Americans are selling foreign securities at a record pace.
“The U.S. is looking like the cleanest dirty shirt from a global perspective,” said Gennadiy Goldberg, U.S. strategist at TD Securities USA LLC in New York. “You had the U.S. actually lead the way in global growth, and a lot of people were attracted by that — they’re trying to keep their holdings more domestic.”
"Cleanest dirty shirt" pretty much sums it up, as does the phrase "the best looking horse in the glue factory." Today's first news item was posted on the moneynews.com Internet site at 5:57 p.m. EST Wednesday afternoon---and it's courtesy of West Virginia reader Elliot Simon.
Alan Greenspan couldn’t control long-term interest rates a decade ago, and bond investors are betting Janet Yellen’s luck will be no better.
When then-Federal Reserve Chairman Greenspan raised the benchmark overnight rate from 2004 to 2006, long-term borrowing costs failed to increase, thwarting his attempts to tighten credit and curb excesses that contributed to the worst financial crisis in 80 years.
“We wanted to control the federal funds rate, but ran into trouble because long-term rates did not, as they always had previously, respond to the rise in short-term rates,” Greenspan said in an interview last week. He called this a “conundrum” during congressional testimony in 2005.
That same year, then-Fed Governor Ben S. Bernanke said a glut of investment dollars from overseas was holding down U.S. interest rates as savers in economies such as China sought safe places to stash their export earnings.
This Bloomberg article, filed from New York, appeared on their Internet site at 2:08 p.m. EST yesterday afternoon---and it's the second offering in a row from Elliot Simon.
Democrats urging President Obama to “go big” in his executive order on immigration might pause to consider the following scenario:
It is 2017. Newly elected President Ted Cruz (R) insists he has won a mandate to repeal Obamacare. The Senate, narrowly back in Democratic hands, disagrees. Mr. Cruz instructs the Internal Revenue Service not to collect a fine from anyone who opts out of the individual mandate to buy health insurance, thereby neutering a key element of the program. It is a matter of prosecutorial discretion, Mr. Cruz explains; tax cheats are defrauding the government of billions, and he wants the IRS to concentrate on them. Of course, he is willing to modify his order as soon as Congress agrees to fix what he considers a “broken” health system.
That is not a perfect analogy to Mr. Obama’s proposed action on immigration. But it captures the unilateral spirit that Mr. Obama seems to have embraced since Republicans swept to victory in the midterm elections. He is vowing to go it alone on immigration. On Iran, he is reportedly designing an agreement that he need not bring to Congress. He already has gone that route on climate change with China.
The legal or constitutional case for each is different, but the rationales overlap: Congress is broken, so Mr. Obama must act. Two-thirds of Americans did not vote in the midterms, and the president must represent them, too. He has tried compromise, and the Republicans spurned him.
This 'up yours Mr. President' from The Washington Post's Editorial Board appeared on their website on Monday---and that makes it three in a row from Elliot Simon.
The shipping season on the upper Mississippi River will end on Thursday as ice surrounding locks and dams near Minnesota's Twin Cities forced the earliest winter closure on records that date back to 1969, the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers said.
"There's so much ice through the whole system," said Bryan Peterson, navigation manager for the Army Corps' St. Paul district. "They're getting the barges they can out and not risking getting stuck there all winter."
There were two tow boats waiting to pass lock and dam No. 2 near Hastings, Minnesota. Once they moved down river, no more vessels were expected, Peterson said.
The closure came as a blast of arctic air brought early snow and freezing temperatures across the United States.
This Reuters story, filed from Chicago, appeared on the news.yahoo.com Internet site about 8:45 CST last evening---and I found it all by myself!
The threat of jail is a far more effective tool for reining in bad behaviour at banks than the prospect of losing bonuses, according to the Bank of England policymaker leading a review into financial market regulation.
Minouche Shafik told MPs that criminal sanctions “are top of the list in making them think twice, making them pay is further down the list”.
It came as a court in Iceland sentenced the former chief executive of Landsbanki, to 12 months in prison for market manipulation.
Sigurjon Arnason was convicted of manipulating the bank's share price and deceiving investors in the run up to the financial crisis that saw Iceland's banking system collapse.
At least someone agrees with me, but talk is cheap. Will they walk the walk? I found this story on the telegraph.co.uk Internet site at 6:41 p.m. GMT on Wednesday evening.
Hungary plans to break ground next year on its stretch of the South Stream pipeline to send natural gas from Russia to Europe. It is in defiance of E.U. and U.S. calls to halt the project over frosty relations with Moscow.
One major reason Hungary has thrown its support into South Stream is the lack of a better option since the EU-backed Nabucco pipeline, which was supposed to deliver gas from Azerbaijan to Europe, failed.
"Nabucco will not be built and after nearly 10 years of hesitation, and especially in light of the Ukraine situation, we need to act. This is a necessity," Hungarian Energy Minister Andras Aradszki told Reuters.
This Russia Today story showed up on their Internet site at 4:45 p.m. Moscow time on their Wednesday afternoon, which was 8:45 a.m. EST. My thanks go out to Roy Stephens for sending it.
Two out of ten coal-fired power plants in Ukraine only have enough stock for a few days, as the key coal mines supplying the plants are located in Donbass where Kiev and self-defense forces are fighting, says Ukraine's Deputy Energy Minister Yury Zyukov.
In 2012 and 2013 Ukraine extracted about 85 million tons of coal, of which 40 billion tons were used for domestically, Zyukov told Glavkom magazine, adding that previously Ukraine even exported coal.
“Situations as this one have never happened in the history of an independent Ukraine, we have never had such precedents.”
“Do you know that Zmiev TPP has 30 thousand tons of coal reserves and the Tripol TPP has 50 thousand? That is literally enough for just for a few days,” Zyukov said. “That is why we needed coal from South Africa - we have no reserves.”
This is another article from the Russia Today Internet site. This one showed up on there at 4:09 p.m. Moscow time yesterday afternoon---and it's the second contribution in a row from Roy Stephens.
On Friday, the Ukrainian military’s P.R. machine spun-up its latest episode of the illusive “Russian Invasion”, this time accusing Moscow of dispatching a column of 32 tanks and “truckloads of Russian troops” into the country’s eastern region.
The West are being very choosy with their language – in case they have to deny they ever said it later. Presently, the West and Kiev are stopping short of labeling the non-event as an invasion, instead calling it “Russian aggression”, and a “cross-border incursion” to aid separatists, with the all-important caveat of “unconfirmed report”, a PR system standardized by CIA media handlers currently in residence inside the U.S.-backed Kiev regime.
Another ‘Russian Invasion’?
The timing, and the sheer desperation of this latest P.R. move is designed for one thing: deflecting public attention away from the fact that Ukrainian military have already broken the fragile ceasefire with rebels, as Kiev resumes its shelling of civilian areas around Donetsk and Lugansk.
This article, a repost from the 21stcenturywire.com Internet site back on November 8---appeared on the russia-insider.com Internet site just after midnight Moscow time on their Wednesday morning---and it's courtesy of South African reader B.V. It's worth reading.
The caliphate has a beach. It is located on the Mediterranean Sea around 300 kilometers (186 miles) south of Crete in Darna. The eastern Libya city has a population of around 80,000, a beautiful old town and an 18th century mosque, from which the black flag of the Islamic State flies. The port city is equipped with Sharia courts and an "Islamic Police" force which patrols the streets in all-terrain vehicles. A wall has been built in the university to separate female students from their male counterparts and the disciplines of law, natural sciences and languages have all been abolished. Those who would question the city's new societal order risk death.
Darna has become a colony of terror, and it is the first Islamic State enclave in North Africa. The conditions in Libya are perfect for the radical Islamists: a disintegrating state, a location that is strategically well situated and home to the largest oil reserves on the continent. Should Islamic State (IS) manage to establish control over a significant portion of Libya, it could trigger the destabilization of the entire Arab world.
The IS puts down roots wherever chaos reigns, where governments are weakest and where disillusionment over the Arab Spring is deepest. In recent weeks, terror groups that had thus far operated locally have quickly begun siding with the extremists from IS.
In September, it was the Algerian group Soldiers of the Caliphate that threw in its lot with Islamic State. As though following a script, the group immediately beheaded a French mountaineer and uploaded the video to the Internet. In October, the "caliphate" was proclaimed in Darna. And last week, the strongest Egyptian terrorist group likewise announced its affiliation with IS.
This longish essay was posted on the German website spiegel.de at 7:20 p.m. EDT on their Tuesday evening---and it's courtesy of Roy Stephens. Normally I'd save this for the weekend, but it's a slow news day, so here it is now.
Islamic State has consolidated its grip on oil supplies in Iraq and now presides over a sophisticated smuggling empire with illegal exports going to Turkey, Jordan and Iran, according to smugglers and Iraqi officials.
Six months after it grabbed vast swaths of territory, the radical militant group is earning millions of dollars a week from its Iraqi oil operations, the U.S. says. Coalition air strikes against tankers and refineries controlled by Isis have merely dented – rather than halted – these exports, it adds.
The militants control around half a dozen oil-producing oilfields. They were quickly able to make them operational and then tapped into established trading networks across northern Iraq, where smuggling has been a fact of life for years. From early July until late October, most of this oil went to Iraqi Kurdistan. The self-proclaimed Islamic caliphate sold oil to Kurdish traders at a major discount. From Kurdistan, the oil was resold to Turkish and Iranian traders. These profits helped Isis pay its burgeoning wages bill: $500 (£320) a month for a fighter, and about $1,200 for a military commander.
The U.S. has pressured Iraqi Kurdistan’s leaders to clamp down on smuggling, with limited success. But oil is still finding its way to Turkey via Syria, with Islamic State deftly switching from one market to another, smugglers say, with cheap crude channelled to Jordan instead. On Monday, a U.N. panel urged countries neighbouring Iraq and Syria to seize oil trucks that continue to flow out from jihadist-occupied territory.
This essay appeared on The Guardian website at 1:06 p.m. GMT yesterday afternoon---and I thank reader B.V. for digging it up for us.
With growth rates for steel products at or near record lows and prices for end-product having plunged to record lows, it is little surprise that the Steel industry would provide the largest Chinese bankruptcy yet in this cycle.
As Bloomberg reports, unlisted Haixin Iron & Steel - which halted production and defaulted on CNY3 bn in March - has started bankruptcy proceedings. Having spent 8 months hoping for the government bailout that every Western onlooker believes is every firm's god-given right, a reorganization application for the Wenxi, Shanxi province-based company (with $1.7 billion of total debt) was accepted by the Yuncheng City Intermediate People’s Court.
This is just the start as "Haixin Group’s bankruptcy will be followed by others," according to researcher Mysteel.com's Chief Analyst Xu Xiangchun.
This interesting article put in an appearance on the Zero Hedge website at 8:16 a.m. EST on Wednesday morning---and I thank reader 'David in California' for passing it around.
A two-year Senate-led investigation is throwing back the curtain on the outsize and sometimes hidden sway that Wall Street banks have gained over the markets for essential commodities like oil, aluminum, and coal.
The Senate's Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations found that Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan Chase assumed a role of such significance in the commodities markets that it became possible for the banks to influence the prices that consumers pay while also securing inside information about the markets that could be used by the banks' own traders.
Bankers from both firms, along with other industry executives and regulators, will testify about the allegations at hearings on Thursday and Friday.
The report provides an unprecedented level of detail about the enormous global operations the banks have built up in recent years since politicians and regulators lifted long-time curbs on banks owning physical commodities and infrastructure.
Of course this includes the precious metals, plus oil and copper. This must read article put in an appearance on The New York Times website at 5:01 p.m. EST on Wednesday afternoon---and the first person through the door with it was U.K. reader Nigel Bunting. There was also an AP story about it as well. It appeared on the abcnews.go.com Internet site at 7:27 p.m. EST last evening. It's headlined "Report: Role of 3 Big Banks in Commodities Risky"---and it's courtesy of Elliot Simon.
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) today launched CFTC SmartCheck, a new national campaign to help investors identify and protect themselves against financial fraud. The comprehensive campaign includes a new website, a national advertising campaign and interactive videos that will help investors spot investment offers that are potentially fraudulent. The new website, SmartCheck.CFTC.gov, unveiled today, is an educational tool that helps investors conduct background checks of financial professionals.
“The CFTC is committed to protecting investors from fraud, and we demonstrate that commitment today with the launch of CFTC SmartCheck,” said CFTC Chairman Tim Massad. “This campaign provides investors with new interactive tools that include the website as well as a targeted advertising campaign and collaborative outreach with allied organizations.”
Over the coming months, the CFTC SmartCheck campaign will include online, television, and print advertising slated to run nationwide and additional outreach efforts with organizations aligned with the CFTC’s mission to reduce financial and investment fraud. The campaign will also feature special events to reach investors and encourage them to use the online tools available at SmartCheck.CFTC.gov. In addition to the background-check tools, the SmartCheck.CFTC.gov website includes a range of information for investors, including interactive videos that help illustrate how to avoid fraud.
This news item showed up on the CFTC's website yesterday---and I found it embedded in silver analyst Ted Butler's mid-week commentary yesterday---and this was his scathing right-on-the-money comment on it. "Here’s the latest announcement from the CFTC warning the public on financial fraud in commodities. Funny, there was no mention of the ongoing scam in COMEX silver which many thousands of market participants have written the agency about. I hate to be cynical but why does this seem like a perfect bureaucratic solution – instead of resolving a manipulation most everyone is aware of, come out instead with a public campaign to warn people of financial fraud in commodities. Marvelous." I know what we should all do, dear reader, is click on the website and ask them to check out the precious metal price rigging scam on the COMEX.
Building contractor Alan Stockmeister is known around town for his stewardship of local businesses: radio stations, a movie theater and a bank, for example. But nothing has been quite like his refinery just off Main Street, which has become an outpost in the multibillion-dollar global gold trade.
Ohio Precious Metals LLC owns one of five refineries in the U.S.—there are 73 world-wide—certified to melt scrap gold and pour it into ingots that can be traded on global markets. OPM’s more than 170 workers process several billion dollars a year in gold and silver headed for banks and jewelers in New York, London and Shanghai.
“Historically, gold refineries have been near production sites, mines or the big financial centers where gold is traded,” says David Jollie, a London-based analyst at gold trader Mitsui Precious Metals. Ohio “is not really one of those places.”
OPM has been able to stay in south-central Ohio in part because gold prices, while 30% below their 2011 peak, are about triple what they were in 2004. Sales of gold to make rings, watches and electronics have increased 70% over the last 10 years, according to Thomson Reuters GFMS. Recent price declines mean that gold production at mines hasn’t kept pace, in turn fueling demand for cheaper-to-produce gold scrap.
OPM is a well-known brand name in our store---and reader Ken Hurt sent this Wall Street Journal story our way yesterday
Demand for silver will post a 7% decline in 2014 because of a slower pace of buying by jewellers and industrial fabricators in the first three quarters of the year, metals consultant Thomson Reuters GFMS said on Tuesday.
Harmonized European sales tax rates that started in January have driven up retail silver investment product prices, reducing demand on the continent, the Thomson Reuters unit said in an interim market review.
Thomson Reuters GFMS said it expected total physical demand, which includes jewellery, coins and bars, silverware and industrial fabrication, to fall 6.7% to 31,243.44 tonnes in 2014 from a record high of 33,498.44 tonnes last year.
Silver industrial demand is forecast to drop 1.8% as the electronics sector keeps shifting to cheaper metals. Jewellery consumption should fall 4.4% because retailers are pushing more gold products to take advantage of lower bullion prices, GFMS said. For the full year, Thomson Reuters GFMS now forecasts silver prices to average $19/oz an ounce, a 20% decline from $23.79/oz in 2013.
Since it was Gold Field Mineral Services that said this, I'd take this Reuters story with a big grain of salt. It was picked up by the miningweekly.com Internet site yesterday---and I thank Malcolm Roberts for sharing it with us.
Focusing on the Netherlands Central Bank's reduction of its gold reserves, Bullion Star market analyst and GATA consultant Koos Jansen asks why the European central banks sold (or purported to sell) so much gold from the announcement of the Washington Agreement on Gold in 1999 through 2010, when such sales stopped almost completely. Jansen cites a comment by the Dutch treasury secretary in 2011 in support of his speculation that the gold sales may have been intended to help redistribute and equalize official gold reserves around the world.
This is exactly what the U.S. economists and fund managers Paul Brodsky and Lee Quaintance speculated in 2012 -- that central banks were moving their gold around so that nations would be better prepared for a complete resetting of the world financial system, in which gold would play an important part for building confidence.
Of course on a planet with actual financial journalism, mainstream news organizations would question central banks about this -- and about everything else central banks do. Since we're living on Earth, Jansen's citing the Dutch parliamentary archive and posing the question it suggests will have to suffice today.
This commentary by Koos is embedded in this GATA release from yesterday---and I thank Chris Powell for writing the above paragraphs of introduction. It's worth reading.
Support among Swiss voters for a referendum proposal that would force a huge increase in the central bank's gold reserves has slipped to 38 percent, an opinion poll showed on Wednesday, falling short of the majority backing it needs to become law.
Under the "Save our Swiss gold" proposal, the Swiss National Bank would be banned from selling any of its gold reserves and would have to hold at least 20 percent of its assets in the metal, compared with 7.8 percent last month. ...
Wednesday's poll, conducted by Berne-based research institute gfs.bern in partnership with Swiss broadcaster SRG, showed 47 percent opposed the initiative, which has been led by the right-wing Swiss People's Party, while 15 percent were undecided or gave no answer.
This Reuters article, co-filed from Zurich and London, put in an appearance on their website at 11:29 a.m. EST on Wednesday---and I found this story over at the gata.org Internet site.
Russia’s central bank bought about 150 metric tons of the metal this year, announced Governor Elvira Nabiullina yesterday. The pronouncement immediately created buying in the market, prompting gold to rise to a two week high at $1,200 an ounce.
Russia's central bank Governor Elvira Nabiullina told the lower house of parliament about the significant Russian gold purchases. She is an economist, head of the Central Bank of Russia and was Vladimir Putin's economic adviser between May 2012 to June 2013.
This announcement is unusual and to our knowledge has not happened before. The announcement by the Russian central bank governor was likely coordinated with Putin and the Kremlin and designed to signal how Russia views their gold reserves as a potential geopolitical and indeed financial and currency war weapon.
Gold currently constitutes for around 10% of the bank's gold and forex reserves, she added.
"Unusual" is an understatement. A better word would be "astonishing"---and in case it might have been lost on you, dear reader, I'd bet that this announcement was a veiled threat that, as I've said many time in the past, all Putin has to do is say the word---and the precious metal price management scheme would blow up in a New York minute---and take a large chunk of the Western banking/financial system with it---including Canada's beloved Scotiabank. This must read commentary by Mark O'Byrne appeared on the goldcore.com Internet site yesterday---and the first person through the door with it was South African reader B.V.
One intriguing possibility is one which Russia has, in fact, contemplated before: Backing the currency with Russia’s gold reserves. In the late 1980s, as the Soviet Union was breaking up, the rouble was in free-fall and inflation was soaring. Russia had essentially zero access to global capital markets and relied on oil exports for hard currency with which to trade with other nations. In 1989, Premier Gorbachev invited two prominent US economists to Russia, where they met with senior economic policy officials and recommended precisely this as the best way to stabilise the rouble. One of the two was former Fed governor Wayne Angell; the other, Jude Wanniski of ‘supply-side’ economic fame. In 1998, Mr Wanniski wrote that he “became alarmed about the financial collapse in Russia,” and decided to “write a piece on how to fix Russia right away, before it was in complete chaos.” In the Wall Street Journal editorial that followed, Mr Wanniski explained the longer history of the gold-backed rouble idea:
In September 1989, the Soviet government of Mikhail Gorbachev invited me to Moscow for nine days to discuss my unorthodox views on how the U.S.S.R. could make the conversion to a market economy. I’d been arguing that the process had to begin by fixing the ruble price of gold at a credible rate of exchange, which I believed then would be a relatively easy thing to do. I still believe that.
This long essay by John Butler appeared on David Stockman's website yesterday---and certainly falls into the absolute must read category. The first person through the door with this commentary was Dan Lazicki.
The deficit run up by the federal agency that insures pensions for about 41 million Americans has nearly doubled, to $62 billion. And the agency says that without changes, its program for pension plans covering 10 million of those workers will be insolvent within 10 to 15 years.
It was the widest deficit in the 40-year history of the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corp., which has now run shortfalls for 12 straight years. The gap grew wider in recent years because the weak economy triggered more corporate bankruptcies and failed pension plans. If the trend continues, the agency could need an infusion of taxpayer funds to pay retirees, who are guaranteed their pensions by law.
The PBGC said Monday that the increased deficit was due to worsening finances of some multi-employer pension plans, which are pension agreements between labor unions and a group of companies, usually in the same industry. The $62 billion deficit reported for the year ended Sept. 30 compared with $36 billion in the previous fiscal year.
This AP story showed up on the abcnews.go.com Internet site at 7:19 p.m. EST on Monday---and by the time that West Virginia reader Elliot Simon sent it my way, my Tuesday column was all full up, so here it is now.
In a flash, the bond market went wild.
What began on Oct. 15 as another day in the U.S. Treasury market suddenly turned into the biggest yield fluctuations in a quarter century, leaving investors worrying there will be turbulence ahead.
The episode exposed a collision of forces -- the rise of high-frequency trading and the decline of Wall Street dealers -- that are reshaping the world’s biggest and most important bond market. Money managers say the $12.4 trillion Treasury market is becoming less liquid, meaning securities can no longer be traded as quickly and easily as they used to be, thanks in part to the Federal Reserve’s bond-buying program.
“The way the market is set up right now, we’ll see instances like we did on that day,” said Michael Lorizio, senior trader at Boston-based Manulife Asset Management US LLC, which oversees $281 billion. “There’s going to be a learning curve as to how to handle that.”
This longish Bloomberg article put in an appearance on their Internet site at 5:45 p.m. Denver time Tuesday afternoon---and it's the second contribution in a row from Elliot Simon.
Starting early Tuesday morning, 3 feet of snow blanketed parts of western New York, especially the city of Buffalo — and the deluge likely won't stop for days.
The National Weather Service has issued a lake effect snow warning for Genesee, Erie, and Wyoming counties until 1 p.m. ET on Wednesday. Snowfall rates could hit 5 inches per hour, bringing a potential total of 6 feet of snow, the service reports.
Lake effect snow occurs when a cold front moves over a large body of warmer water, creating unstable temperatures in the atmosphere. As a result, clouds form, suck up water, and develop into heavy snow as they move downwind.
Whiteout conditions forced the closure of I-90, a major highway in the area, in both directions. Going forward, visibility could reach zero at times, according to the National Weather Service.
This incredible photo-essay appeared on the businessinsider.com Internet site yesterday at 10:39 a.m. EST---and the pictures are definitely worth the trip. I thank Roy Stephens for his first offering of the day.
1. Does the G-20 Communique Offer Enough Specifics? [2:32 minutes] 2. Why M&A Activity Has Picked Up This Month [7:04 minutes] 3. Japan Has Been in a Depression Since 1990 [6:47 minutes] 4. Oil Prices Plunge: How Likely Is Action From OPEC? [3:57 minutes]
I must admit that I haven't had time to watch all of them---and I thank reader Harold Jacobsen for providing all these Bloomberg video clips.
The tax benefits of Puerto Rican residency gained some attention and notoriety when hedge fund billionaire John Paulson went to Puerto Rico to “kick the tires.”
He did not become a Puerto Rican resident (not yet, at least), but ended up buying a resort there instead. My theory is that John Paulson can’t move anywhere without attracting adverse media attention. The media would declare that Paulson’s purchase of a Big Gulp at Seven Eleven as tax motivated.
Puerto Rico has long used corporate tax incentives to attract many large American multinational companies. Both Apple and Microsoft can attribute a great deal of their tax benefits and success to Puerto Rico. Many pharmaceutical companies have Puerto Rican operations.
The Puerto Rican government—not lacking in creativity—passed a series of tax bills in 2012 to create economic incentives for Americans to move and start businesses in Puerto Rico. Namely, they eliminated taxation on dividends, interest, and capital gains as well as reduced corporate taxes to just 4%.
This very interesting commentary appeared on the internationalman.com Internet site the other day.
The European Central Bank’s plans for €1 trillion of monetary stimulus is fraught with risk and is likely to fail without full-blown bond purchases, Standard & Poor’s has warned.
The agency said the ECB’s blitz of ultra-cheap loans to banks (TLTROs) cannot generate more than €40bn of net stimulus once old loans are repaid, given regulatory curbs imposed on lenders.
Jean-Michel Six, the agency’s chief European economist, said ‘doves’ on the ECB’s governing council know that the loan plan is unworkable but are going through the motions in order to persuade German-led ‘hawks’ that all conventional measures have been exhausted, even if this means a debilitating delay.
“Risks of a triple-dip recession have increased,” said Mr Six. "The ECB has one last arrow and that is quantitative easing of €1 trillion, needed to restore the M3 money supply to trend growth."
This Ambrose Evans-Pritchard commentary showed up on the telegraph.co.uk Internet site at 5:55 p.m. GTM on Tuesday afternoon---and it's courtesy of South African reader B.V.
The French government will not support the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) between the E.U. and U.S. as long as a controversial stipulation is included.
France, like the U.K. and Germany, will block the trade deal altogether if the mechanism of investor-to-state dispute settlement (ISDS) is included; EurActiv France reported.
The clause appears in most free trade agreements, and would leave France defenseless against foreign companies taking legal action against it if laws and legislation stunt profits.
"France did not want the ISDS to be included in the negotiation mandate," France's Secretary of State for Foreign Trade, Matthias Fekl told the French Senate. "We have to preserve the right of the state to set and apply its own standards, to maintain the impartiality of the justice system and to allow the people of France, and the world, to assert their values," he added.
This story showed up on the Russia Today website at 1:00 p.m. Moscow time on their Tuesday afternoon---and it's courtesy of Roy Stephens.
Tit-for-tat expulsions of diplomats. Russian naval ships showing up as world leaders meet in Australia. Chancellor Angela Merkel of Germany telling Russia sternly to play by 21st-century rules — and President Vladimir V. Putin practically spitting fury over Western reaction to his annexation of Crimea.
As relations between Russia and the West increasingly resemble the bygone days of the Cold War, Ms. Merkel abandoned her traditionally cautious tone on Monday, castigating Russia for its actions in Ukraine, for intimidating sovereign states in Eastern Europe and for threatening to spread conflict more broadly across Europe.
“The Ukraine crisis is most likely not just a regional problem,” Ms. Merkel said in a speech at the Lowy Institute for International Policy in Sydney, Australia. “In this case, we see it affects us all.”
This propaganda piece showed up on The New York Times website on Monday sometime---and I'd be very careful about reading too much into it, as this paper, along with the WSJ and Washington Post are mouthpieces for the U.S. government. I thank Phil Barlett for being the first reader through the door with this story yesterday.
The Swedish military has confirmed a “Russian” aircraft that entered Swedish airspace on Saturday was actually French. The Expressen newspaper had falsely reported a Russian plane was "a couple of kilometers on the wrong side of the border.”
The military plane actually turned out to be from France and Jesper Tengroth, a press officer for the Swedish military said they are now going to investigate what the plane was actually doing there. Speaking to The Local news website, he was unable to give any further details about the French aircraft and added The Expressen publication would, “have to take responsibility for their sources.”
The French Embassy in Stockholm says they are currently investigating the air violation. “I do not have any information right now. We are in contact with Paris to understand what is happening,” said Lionel Fabre, who is the embassy’s press officer, as reported by Expressen.
However, Janzen made no mention of the mix-up on his Twitter page, preferring to continue condemning Moscow for testing Europe’s air defenses.
Stories such as this will never be allowed to appear in the Western press. This one appeared on the Russia Today website at 6:30 p.m. Moscow time on their Monday evening, which was 10:30 a.m. EST. It's courtesy of reader M.A.
This is an interesting article that forcefully conveys the fact that Kyiv [Kiev] continues to raise the alarm about existing or potential Russian or Novorossiyan bellicosity and to proclaim its readiness to fight a renewed full-scale war.
However, with Ukraine disowning retirees in Donbass and contemplating trade deals with the rebel leadership there are increasing signs that this combative attitude is really for internal consumption, and that Kyiv is actually beginning to gradually adjust to the reality of Novorossiya outside its sovereignty.
This interesting 3-page article was posted on the russia-insider.com Internet site early Tuesday morning sometime---and I thank Roy Stephens for sending it.
Kiev’s foreign reserves plunged last month by a whopping 23.2 per cent to a paltry $12.6 billion.
By the end of the year it will be even messier.
Kiev’s gotta pay a $3.1 billion gas bill to Gazprom, or else…
The central bank will have to sell more foreign currency to support the hryvnia. And there are MORE hefty gas bills as General Winter advances.
This tiny absolute must read commentary by Pepe showed up on the russia-insider.com Internet site on Monday sometime---and it's courtesy of reader B.V.
The United States wants to subdue Moscow, but will never succeed, Russian President Vladimir Putin said on Tuesday.
"They do not want to humiliate us, they want to subdue us, solve their problems at our expense," Putin said at the end of a four-hour meeting with his core support group, the People's Front.
"No one in history ever managed to achieve this with Russia, and no one ever will," he said, triggering a wave of applause.
Putin's tough talk reflected the strain in ties between Moscow and Washington, who are at loggerheads over the crisis in Ukraine, where the West has accused Russia of promoting and arming a separatist rebellion.
This Reuters news item, filed from Moscow, showed up on their website at 12:07 p.m. EST on Tuesday---and it's courtesy of Roy Stephens. Roy also sent along the Russia Today version of the same news item headlined "Putin: ‘U.S. wants to subdue Russia, but no one did or ever will’"---and I urge you to read them both for comparison purposes---and then decide which one is the most believable.
The European Union and NATO members are trying to persuade France to stop the delivery of Mistral helicopter carriers to Russia, Poland's Deputy Prime Minister and the head of Defense Department Tomasz Siemoniak said Tuesday. He was at the scheduled meeting of the EU defense ministers.
He said the issue was discussed on the sidelines of the talks in Brussels. “The pressure on France is strong. I am confident that France will make a wise and responsible decision, knowing that it is a NATO member.”
He added that Poland is against France's selling high-technology military equipment to Russia.
In his opinion, France is already close to a decision on Mistral delivery to Russia.
This news story showed up on the itar-tass.com Internet site at 8:16 p.m. Europe time yesterday evening---and I thank Roy Stephens for sharing it.
The Russian currency started to bounce back in Tuesday trading, as oil prices edged closer to $80 per barrel, an important benchmark that was crossed last week.
The US dollar lost 28 kopecks to 46.82 rubles at 10:55 Moscow time (07:55 GMT) going below 47 rubles for the first time since last week. The Central Bank of Russia also cut its official rate for the American currency for Wednesday, dropping it by 35.32 kopecks to 46.98.
The price of oil is also recovering, with Brent December futures climbing above $79 per barrel heading to an $80 per barrel threshold.
"After the expiration of December contracts, a traditional rebound has started. High chances remain for a full-fledged [upward] correction. The next growth target is in the range of $85.5-86.5 per barrel for Brent crude," he said.
This news item was posted on the Russia Today website at 11:28 a.m. Moscow time on their Tuesday morning---and once again I thank Roy Stephens for finding it for us.
Russia’s oil giant Rosneft has invited Chinese companies to participate in joint energy projects in the Arctic, Russian Resource Minister Sergei Donskoi said Tuesday.
“The Chinese have received an offer and are looking at participation in these projects [in the Arctic]. We’re talking about with Rosneft,” the minister said.
Russian and Chinese relations have been actively developed over the past few months.
Earlier in November, Russian President Vladimir Putin stated that increasing cooperation with China, including in the energy sector, is one of Russia's top foreign policy priorities.
This short news item put in an appearance on the sputnik.com Internet site at 4:50 p.m. Moscow time on their Tuesday afternoon---and I thank reader M.A. for bringing it to our attention.
Since Ben Bernanke reminded the world of the existence of government printing-presses, echoed Milton Friedman's "helicopter drop" solution to fighting deflation, and decried Japan for not being as insane as it could be... it has only been a matter of time before some global central bank decided that the dropping of cash onto the populace was the key to economic recovery.
Having blown their wad on QQE (and been left with a triple-dip recession), it appears Japan has reached that limit.
As Japan's News47 reports, Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has instructed his cabinet to develop economic measures such as handing out 'gift certificates' to the poor to "support personal consumption directly."
This Zero Hedge article showed up on their website at 8:55 p.m. EST on Monday evening---and I found it embedded in yesterday's edition of the King Report.
Abenomics is alive and well. Japan’s crash into its fourth recession since 2008 is a nasty surprise for premier Shinzo Abe but it tells us almost nothing about the central thrust of his reflation blitz.
The mini-slump is chiefly due to a one-off fiscal shock in April. Mr Abe defied warnings from Keynesian critics and unwisely stuck to plans drawn up by a previous (DPJ) government to raise the consumption tax from 5pc to 8pc.
The essence of Abenomics is monetary reflation a l’outrance to lift the country out of deflation after two Lost Decades. The unstated purpose of this “First Arrow” is to lower real interest rates and raise the growth of nominal GDP to 5pc, deemed the minimum necessary to stop Japan’s debt trajectory from spiralling out of control.
This is a formidable task and may ultimately fail. Public debt is already 245pc of GDP. Debt payments are 43pc of fiscal revenues. The population is expected to fall to from 127m to 87m by 2060. Given the grim mathematics of this, the inertia of the pre-Abe era was inexcusable.
Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, who never met a monetary inflation he didn't like, tries to put lipstick on the Abenomics pig for his New World Order masters---and I'll leave it up to you, dear reader, to determine whether he succeeds or not. I gave it a big thumbs down. This article was posted on The Telegraph's website at 8:27 p.m. Monday evening GMT---and I thank Roy Stephens for finding it for us.
This is getting hard to believe. The announcement that Japan has plunged into a triple dip recession should have been lights out for Abenomics. But, no, its madman prime minister has now called a snap election to enlist more public support for his campaign to destroy what remains of Japan’s economy.
And what’s worse, he’s not likely to be stopped by the electorate or even the leadership of Japan Inc, which presumably should know better. Here’s what Japan leading brokerage had to say about the “unexpected” 1.6% drop in Q3 GDP—- compared to the consensus expectation of a 2.2% gain and after the upward revised shrinkage of 7.3% in Q2.
"We think that the economy is gradually improving,” said Tomo Kinoshita, an economist at Nomura Securities. “There’s no reason to be pessimistic about the economy going forward.”
Really? How in the world can an economist perched at the epicenter of Japan Inc. think that its economy is improving when Japan’s constant dollar GDP has now fallen back to pre-Abenomics levels; and, in fact, is no higher than it was in late 2007 prior to the “financial crisis”? Indeed, aside from the Q1 pull-forward of spending to beat the consumption tax increase, Japan’s economy has remained stranded on the flat-line it attained after world trade recovered from its 2008-2009 plunge.
David rips Prime Minister Abe a new one in this very long chart-studded commentary that was posted on his website yesterday. It's definitely worth reading, but only to the point where your eyes start to glaze over. It's the last offering of the day from Roy Stephens, for which I thank him.
Mercedes-Benz is in the midst of overhauling its SUV and crossover lineup in both makeup and name, with a new GLC model slated to replace the GLK, a GLE to replace the GL and even a new G-Class to cap it all off. But it's not just the production utilities which Benz has been working on.
Presented at the opening of the German automaker's new R&D center in Beijing, this new Vision G-Code concept takes the form of a Sports Utility Coupe that – at 161 inches long – is even shorter than the GLA that's currently Mercedes' smallest crossover. But despite its compact form, the G-Code is packed with cutting-edge technology.
For one, it uses multi-voltaic silver paint that transforms the body into one continuous solar panel. It fuels the electric portion of the otherwise unspecified hybrid power train that offers through-the-road all-wheel drive and the option of pure electric mobility. There's even a holographic grille at the front that indicates what mode the vehicle is in, similar to what we saw recently on Mercedes' Future Truck 2025 concept. The grille is flanked by LED headlights, with another strip of LEDs around back and tiny cameras that pop out of the hidden a-pillars to act as rear view mirrors (this is a concept, after all).
This interesting article put in an appearance on the autoblog.com Internet site back on November 3---and I thank Toronto reader 'Michael G' for digging it up for us.
South Africa's platinum producers Anglo American Platinum, Lonmin and Impala Platinum have formed a council that will seek to boost investment demand for the metal including lobbying governments to have it installed as a reserve asset.
Paul Wilson, the newly appointed CEO of the World Platinum Investment Council said the organisation also hoped to capitalise on the growth of platinum demand in China by having jewellery owners - who consume net 1.6 million ounces of the metal or 70% of the metal's jewellery market - consider platinum as an investment asset.
"There is a long term desire at the council to have platinum listed as a reserve currency," said Wilson in a telephonic interview today. "I can’t see why they [the South African Reserve Bank] can’t hold it in the same way as it holds gold," he said.
As Chris Powell said in his preamble to a similar story in the Financial Times yesterday---"Maybe gold miners will figure it out for their own metal eventually as well." Of course the platinum and palladium producers are in the same boat as the silver, gold and copper miners---held hostage by the paper games of JPMorgan et al in the COMEX futures market. This article appeared on the miningmx.com Internet site at 5:00 p.m. SAST yesterday afternoon---and it's worth reading.
Back in March, at a time when the IMF reported that Ukraine's official gold holdings as of the end of February, so just as the State Department-facilitated coup against former president Victor Yanukovich was concluding, amounted to 42.3 tonnes or 8% of reserves.
Notably, under the previous "hated" president, Ukraine gold's reserves had constantly increased hitting a record high just before the presidential coup we reported of a strange incident that took place just after the Ukraine presidential coup, namely that according to at least one source, "in a mysterious operation under the cover of night, Ukraine's gold reserves were promptly loaded onto an unmarked plane, which subsequently took the gold to the U.S."
Needless to say there was no official confirmation of any of this taking place, and in fact our report, in which we mused if the "price of Ukraine's liberation" was the handover of its gold to the Fed at a time when Germany was actively seeking to repatriate its own physical gold located at the bedrock of the NY Fed, led to the usual mainstream media mockery.
This interesting---but not entirely surprising news item appeared on the Zero Hedge website at 7:47 p.m. EST yesterday evening---and I thank South African reader B.V. for his last contribution to today's column.
West Shore Group's Jim Rickards discusses the finances of the Islamic State militant group with Bloomberg's Matt Miller on "Street Smart."
This 4:54 minute video clip showed up on the Bloomberg website on Monday sometime and, as usual, I thank reader Harold Jacobsen for bringing it to my attention---and now to yours. It's worth watching.
Gold bounced back above $1,200 this morning in London, but before one can be sure that this is the start of the long-expected recovery there could yet be teeth in the bear. The big money playing the futures markets with paper gold can still exert ultimate control over where the price is headed short term and if it suits them there could yet be another sharp price drop to try and drive out any remaining weak gold holders.
But medium term it may be that options are becoming more and more limited for keeping the market depressed. Gold continues to flow from West to East with the big recovery in Indian demand coupled with continuing high levels of withdrawals from the Shanghai Gold Exchange as the key elements in this. Although whether Indian demand has recovered to overtake China’s over the past two quarters as World Gold Council figures might suggest, and which has been reported as fact by much of the media, given SGE withdrawal figures have been running at such high levels of late we think is not a true picture of the real situation, but in combination India and China are taking in gold at back to peak levels.
Demand is also seen as high in a number of other countries in Europe, the Middle East and elsewhere in Asia, while Russia and some of the old FSU countries are adding to their gold reserves thus taking even more metal off the markets. It is hard to see where all this volume of gold is coming from as it certainly substantially exceeds new global gold output.
This commentary by Lawrie was posted on the mineweb.com Internet site on Tuesday sometime---and it's certainly worth reading.
Paul Volcker, the man who broke the back of inflation in the opening years of the 1980s, is a man at odds with what Federal Reserve policy making has become.
A 2% inflation target? Long-term, detailed forecasts of activity? Pledges to keep rates very low well into the future? For Mr. Volcker, who led the Fed from 1979 to 1987, these are all overly precise policy choices that promise more than any central bank can deliver. What’s worse, the policies that have come to define modern Fed policy can even be counterproductive, making central bank goals harder to achieve.
Mr. Volcker, 87, weighed in on monetary policy while participating at a conference held at the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia on Thursday. The former central banker occupies a hallowed place in the institution’s history, having helmed the effort that decisively killed the high inflation that boiled out of the 1970s, albeit by way of creating a sharp economic downturn. His blunt-force approach to central bank policy making stands in sharp relief to the increasingly complex web of communications and tools that have come to define the Ben Bernanke and Janet Yellen eras of central bank leadership.
This commentary appeared on The Wall Street Journal website last Thursday---and I borrowed the headline from David Stockman's website. I thank reader Dan Lazicki for today's first news item. It's worth reading.
A money illusion sounds like something a prestidigitator performs by pulling $100 bills from a hat shown to be empty moments before. In fact, money illusion is a longstanding concept in economics that has enormous significance for you if you’re a saver, investor or entrepreneur.
Money illusion is a trick, but it is not one performed on stage. It is a ruse performed by central banks that can distort the economy and destroy your wealth.
The money illusion is a tendency of individuals to confuse real and nominal prices. It boils down to the fact that people ignore inflation when deciding if they are better off. Examples are everywhere.
This longish, but very worthwhile essay appeared on the dailyreckoning.com Internet site last Thursday as well---and I thank Harold Jacobsen for sharing it with us.
Former Soviet President Mikhail Gorbachev has called the US president a 'lame duck.' Commenting on the recent G20 summit in Australia, Gorbachev said he was disappointed in Obama and that he 'thought better' of the American leader.
"Obama is a lame duck. One must not finish the job in such a mediocre way. He just decided to throw accusations around. He will be of no avail any more, unfortunately. I've thought better of him," the former leader of the USSR told Rusnovosti radio.
Gorbachev, who is praised around the world as a great advocate of democracy, used the American term - meaning an elected official, approaching the end of his time in office - when talking about Obama's comments at the G20 summit.
This article appeared on the Russia Today website at 4:05 p.m. Moscow time on their Monday afternoon---and it's the first offering of the day from Roy Stephens.
Mark Carney has warned bankers they should lose more of their pay in cases of wrongdoing – in addition to forfeiting bonuses – after a series of fines for bad conduct have failed to improve standards across the scandal-hit industry.
The Bank of England governor signalled a radical overhaul of the way bankers are paid as he told an audience in Singapore that repeated fines for scandals, such as manipulating Libor and last week’s £2.6bn penalties for rigging foreign exchange rates, were not enough to change behaviour.
New measures were needed to restore the public’s trust in the financial markets, Carney said, signalling that moves could include making bankers fund a bank’s fines out of their pay or potentially docking salaries.
How about sending bankers to jail for their crimes? That would restore my confidence---but I noticed that Carney never mentioned the word in this article that appeared in The Guardian early yesterday evening GMT. It's the first contribution of the day from South African reader B.V. [I note that when I was editing this column at 4:14 a.m. EST, the 'thought police' at The Guardian have provided a new headline: It reads "Mark Carney: dock bankers' pay for misconduct"
Six years on from the financial crash that brought the world to its knees, red warning lights are once again flashing on the dashboard of the global economy.
As I met world leaders at the G20 in Brisbane, the problems were plain to see. The eurozone is teetering on the brink of a possible third recession, with high unemployment, falling growth and the real risk of falling prices too. Emerging markets, which were the driver of growth in the early stages of the recovery, are now slowing down. Despite the progress in Bali, global trade talks have stalled while the epidemic of Ebola, conflict in the Middle East and Russia’s illegal actions in Ukraine are all adding a dangerous backdrop of instability and uncertainty.
The British economy, by contrast, is growing. After the difficult decisions of recent years we are the fastest growing in the G7, with record numbers of new businesses, the largest ever annual fall in unemployment, and employment up 1.75 million in four years: more than in the rest of the EU put together. But the reality is, in our interconnected world, wider problems in the global economy pose a real risk to our recovery at home. We are already seeing that, with the impact of the eurozone slowdown on our manufacturing and our exports.
We cannot insulate ourselves completely, but we must do all we can to protect ourselves from a global downturn. Working through the agenda at the G20, it was clearer than ever how vital it is that we stick to our long-term plan at home and at the same time play our part in the international response to the global challenges on which our economic security also depends.
This commentary by British Prime Minister David Cameron, who has a keen grasp of the obvious, appeared on The Guardian website yesterday sometime---and I stole it from Mark O'Byrne's column over at the goldcore.com Internet site.
With East-West relations at rock bottom, Russia's leading blue chip companies are toying with the idea of abandoning the London Stock Exchange as the long preferred venue for listing their shares, and moving to Hong Kong.
In the last month, state-owned oil and gas giants Rosneft and Gazprom, together with privately owned oil producer Lukoil, have all said they are thinking about delisting from the LSE and floating on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange instead and denominating their stocks in Asian currencies, according to comments made by Russia's Economic Development Ministry on November 8.
"The largest Russian companies - Gazprom, Rosneft and Lukoil - are considering the Hong Kong Stock Exchange as a suitable trading floor to list their securities denominated in Asian currencies (the yuan, the Hong Kong and the Singaporean dollar)," the ministry said in a statement.
The banks are also talking the same game: Russia's state-owned de facto development bank Vnesheconombank says it may launch an affiliate in Hong Kong next year, while retail banking behemoth Sberbank and leading commercial bank Promsvyazbank are also considering opening branches in Hong Kong, the ministry said citing its head Alexei Ulyukayev.
This very interesting article showed up on the russia-insider.com Internet site early on Monday morning Moscow time---and I thank reader B.V. for his second story in today's missive.
Belgium is creeping back onto the Eurozone's danger list as economic woes spread deeper into the EMU-core, and protracted slump poisons debt dynamics.
Fitch Ratings has issued a downgrade alert, warning that the country's primary budget surplus is evaporating. It said public debt will reach 106.9pc of GDP next year.
New accounting rules known as ESA2010 have revealed that Belgium is poorer than previously thought, lifting the debt ratio by 3.3pc of GDP overnight. This is in stark contrast to the upgrade for Britain, Ireland, and Finland, all deemed to be richer and therefore less troubled by debt.
The agency placed Belgium on negative watch, deeming it ever further out of line among its AA-rated peers worldwide. The median debt ratio is 37pc. "Public debt dynamics have deteriorated owing to weaker real GDP growth and worse fiscal performance," it said.
Belgium has been in the toilet for years, with a junk bond rating masquerading as investment grade---and now the rating agencies have finally gotten around to pointing that out. And since it's this bad on the surface then, like Italy and Spain, it must be butt-ass ugly under the hood. This Ambrose Evans-Pritchard commentary showed up on The Telegraph's website at 7:02 p.m. GMT on Sunday evening---and it's the second story of the day from Roy Stephens.
Belgian prosecutors have given notice of formal charges filed against the Swiss division of financial giant HSBC Holdings in connection with assisting high-income tax residents of Belgium evade taxation to the amount of billions euros, which is yet another criminal investigation into fraud and money-laundering against the Swiss banking giant.
Belgian judicial investigator Michel Claise has accused HSBC Private Bank SA (Suisse), a subsidiary of banking corporation HSBC Holdings of aiding several hundreds of its Antwerp-based clients, among whom are diamond dealers, to illicitly move their money from Swiss bank accounts to offshore holding companies, mostly in Panama and the British Virgin Islands. This capital offshoring was undertaken as a tax evasion scheme, the prosecution alleges, according to a Wall Street Journal report.
This capital flight came about in order to avoid taxes after an agreement to exchange information of bank accounts between the European Union and Switzerland was concluded. Prior to that agreement, many wealthy E.U. citizens holding money abroad enjoyed the absence of taxes on income generated by their Swiss bank deposits.
This story, filed from Moscow, was posted on the sputniknews.com Internet site at 4:36 p.m. local time yesterday afternoon---and it's the first contribution of the day from reader M.A.
Thousands of people took to the streets of Paris on Saturday to protest against austerity and condemn French President Francois Hollande for betraying his voters.
The demonstration gathered around 5,000 people, RT’s Ilya Petrenko reported from the French capital.
A variety of left-wing political forces occupied an entire street in downtown Paris for the rally.
The majority of those who came voted for socialist Francois Hollande two years ago and now say they were betrayed by the president they put in power.
This article put in an appearance on the Russia Today website on Saturday evening Moscow time---and it's the second story in a row from reader M.A.
Frankfurt, which is seeking to corner a share of the burgeoning offshore yuan market, has set the ball rolling with the first clearing of transactions in the Chinese currency.
Bank of China Ltd., chosen by the People’s Bank of China in June to clear payments in the euro-area’s financial capital, has spent the last five months building the infrastructure to facilitate settlements before the official start of clearing today. Deutsche Bank AG, Commerzbank AG, DZ Bank AG and Landesbank Hessen-Thueringen Girozentrale have cleared transactions through the Frankfurt hub, according to Bernd Meist, its managing director.
Frankfurt became the first financial center in Europe to win the right to clear and settle payments in yuan when the Bundesbank and the People’s Bank of China signed a memorandum of understanding on March 28. The clearing bank makes it easier for German lenders and their clients to access the yuan and cut costs by making euros directly convertible with the Chinese currency without having to be changed into U.S. dollars first.
This Bloomberg article, filed from Frankfurt, appeared on their Internet site at 8:54 a.m. on Monday morning Denver time---and thank reader M.A. for sending it our way.
The leader of Italy's anti-establishment Five Star Movement, Beppe Grillo, has gone to the European Parliament (EP) to present his programme to get a referendum in Italy on leaving the euro "as soon as possible".
The comedian-turned-politician is aiming to collect 4m signatures by next spring.
He will then go to parliament in Rome, where many of his MPs now sit, and demand a referendum. If millions of Italians sign the petition, Prime Minister Matteo Renzi won't be able to simply brush this off.
Mr Grillo, much like UKIP leader Nigel Farage in Britain, has fundamentally changed the Italian political landscape.
This story was posted on the bbc.com Internet site at 4:43 a.m. EST last Thursday---and it's another article courtesy of reader B.V.
Kiev has suspended the protection of human rights and ordered the withdrawal of its institutions from areas controlled by local militia in the nation's east. Rebels have branded the decree, which hits the population on winter’s eve, an ‘act of genocide.'
The move was prepared by the Ukrainian National Security and Defense Council last week and enacted by a presidential decree signed on Friday. It has yet to be ratified by the newly-elected parliament, but the decree explicitly says that this procedure must be expedited – so there is little doubt that the new governing coalition will adopt it next week.
Arguably the most controversial part of the decree is the suspension of the European Convention on Human Rights in rebel-held areas. The convention, which guarantees basic human rights and fundamental freedoms in Europe, has a provision which allows some of its articles to be derogated by a signatory “in time of war or other public emergency threatening the life of the nation.”
With moves such as this one, Kiev seems to be begging Russia to take over the Donbass region---and with this turn of events, it's hard not to blame them if they did. This article appeared on the Russia Today Internet site just after midnight Moscow time on their Sunday morning---and it's courtesy of reader M.A. once again.
Ukraine’s decision to sever economic ties with rebel-held areas and stop funding local public services is a big mistake which does not help the locals gain trust in Kiev, Russian President Vladimir Putin told journalists at the G20 summit.
“I don’t understand why Kiev authorities are cutting off those territories with their own hands. Well one can understand – to save money. But it’s not the time or the case to save money on,” he said.
Putin compared Kiev’s debacle with the Donetsk and Lugansk regions to Russia’s own armed conflict in the Chechen Republic that erupted several times since the early 1990s and officially ended in April 2009. But even at the worst moments, Moscow did not stop paying pensions and other social benefits to the Chechen people, he said.
This Russia Today story dovetails with the article posted prior to this one---and it's also courtesy of reader M.A., for which I thank him. It's worth reading.
The Russian envoy to the Organization for the Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE), Andrei Kelin, on Monday once again urged the United States to disclose the satellite imagery that was taken over eastern Ukraine at the time of the Malaysian Boeing crash.
Speaking with Russia's Rossiya 24 TV channel, the Russian envoy said Moscow continued to "insist" that Washington "share its satellite data because there's no way they could not have seen what happened there on that day".
Kelin said Russia "urgently needs" Kiev to disclose the records of negotiations between Ukrainian air traffic controllers.
Neither Kiev nor Washington has so far unveiled the evidence that allegedly implicates east Ukrainian militia in the Malaysian airliner crash, which killed all 298 people on board.
This news story appeared on the sputniknews.com Internet site at 10:36 p.m. Moscow time yesterday evening---and it's another contribution from reader M.A.
NATO prefers to ignore the humanitarian crisis in eastern Ukraine and Moscow’s efforts to stabilize situation in the country, the Russian Foreign Ministry said Monday.
“Sadly, NATO prefers to demonstratively ignore Russia’s consistent efforts to stabilize the situation in Ukraine, as well as the worsening social and economic situation in the southeast of this country and its de-facto blockade by the Kiev government,” said Maria Zakharova, the deputy head of the ministry’s information and press department.
She added that the alliance also fails to mention the Kiev government’s violations of reconciliation agreements and the use of heavy weaponry against civilians.
Instead, NATO officials resort to "idle speculations" to justify Russian military involvement in the Ukrainian crisis to boost anti-Russian sentiments and justify its growing military presence near the Russian border, Zakharova added.
This very interesting article was posted on the sputniknews.com website at 4:24 p.m. Moscow time on their Monday afternoon, which was 8:24 a.m. in New York. It's another contribution from reader M.A.
Forty eight hours after NATO said Russia is pouring fresh troops into Ukraine, E.U. ministers opted to blacklist some “separatists” while trying to restart talks with Moscow.
The foreign ministers, who met in Brussels on Monday (17 November), in their joint statement called for “a withdrawal of all illegal and foreign forces” from Ukraine.
They also tasked the E.U. foreign service and the European Commission “to present a proposal for decision by the end of this month on additional listings targeting separatists”.
Speaking after the event, E.U. foreign relations chief Federica Mogherini noted that the “main” point of Monday’s discussion was “how to re-engage in a dialogue … Russia is for sure part of the problem, but it is also part of the solution for the crisis”.
This story was posted on the euobserver.com Internet site at 7:34 p.m. Europe time on their Monday evening---and I thank Roy Stephens for bringing it to our attention.
The continuing attacks on Vladimir Putin and Russia by members of the western political, military and journalistic elite tell us one thing – the Russian President is doing a good job both for the people of his country and in the international arena.
For it is a rule which invariably holds true – if the Western elites praise the leader of a foreign country it means he is doing something which is good for those elites and bad for his country. If he’s demonized, as Putin is, it’s the other way round.
The latest attack has come from Martin E. Dempsey, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. The U.S. Army general said that Russia was “pushing on the limits of international order.” Dempsey talked of the need to “deter Russian aggression against our NATO allies” – and said that Russia had “kind of lit a fire of nationalism.”
“Once you light that fire, it’s not controllable,” the General said. “I am worried about Europe.” It’s worth reflecting on Dempsey’s words as they provide a classic example of what psychologists call ‘projection’. The US General was accusing Russia of what his own country has been guilty of.
This right-on-the-money commentary appeared on the Russia Today website on the weekend---and was picked up by the lewrockwell.com Internet site on Saturday---and falls into the absolute must read category, especially if your a serious student of the New Great Game.
Nonperforming loans rose by 72.5 billion yuan ($11.8 billion) from the previous quarter to 766.9 billion yuan, the China Banking Regulatory Commission said in a statement on Nov. 15. Soured credit accounted for 1.16 percent of lending, up from 1.08 percent three months earlier.
As China heads for the weakest economic expansion since 1990, Communist Party leaders have discussed lowering the nation’s growth target for 2015, according to a person with knowledge of their talks. Bankers’ low appetite for risk and their rising concerns about asset quality are leading to a “sluggish” expansion in credit, according to UBS AG.
“We are still suffering from the aftermath of the credit binge and massive stimulus measures put in place in 2008,” said Rainy Yuan, a Shanghai-based analyst at Masterlink Securities Corp. “Banks have accelerated recognition of their bad loans in the last two quarters so that they could start the clean-up process.”
This Bloomberg article, co-filed from Shanghai and Beijing, showed up on their website at 7:42 p.m. Mountain Standard Time [MST] on Sunday evening---and it's courtesy of reader Howard Wiener.
You have said that the collapse of the International monetary system does not really mean end of the world. One has to devise new rules. What exactly do you mean by new rules?
The international monetary system has collapsed three times in the past 100 years — in 1914, 1939 and 1971. Each collapse was followed by a new system devised by the leading trading and financial powers of the time. These new "rules of the game" are arrived at in one or more international monetary conference. Famous examples include the Genoa Conference of 1922, the Bretton Woods Conference of 1944, and the Smithsonian Agreement of 1971, but there have been many others. A new international conference today would probably include the US, EU, Japan, China and Russia as its major players. It would likely be held under the auspices of the G-20 and the IMF. Other important participants would include Brazil, India, Saudi Arabia and the UK. Possible bases for a new international monetary system include the current form of world money, the special drawing right (or SDR), and possibly some role for gold.
Given China’s rising debt, do you think the collapse might get triggered from there? Or, is the debt problem just a hype?
The debt problem in China is not hype. The collapse of the debt and property bubble there could well be the catalyst for a global economic crisis. About 45% of Chinese GDP is infrastructure investment and a substantial portion of that is wasted on non-revenue generating and unneeded projects and financed with unpayable debt. This debt is funded in part through wealth management products (WMPs), which are like high-yield junk CDOs. This WMP bubble is in addition to the general residential property bubble that has been financed with regular mortgage products. Another source of debt is off-balance-sheet provincial government obligations. China is the greatest debt bubble in history and it will unwind with adverse and unpredictable consequences for global capital markets.
This brief interview with Jim appeared on the internationalfinancemanagazine.com Internet site ten days ago---and I thank Harold Jacobsen for this second contribution to today's column.
China and Australia have concluded talks on a landmark bilateral deal that will remove tariffs on goods imports and create stimulus for increased mutual investment, a statement on the Australian prime minister's official website said on Monday.
"The landmark China-Australia Free Trade Agreement (ChAFTA) will unlock substantial new benefits for Australians for years to come," the statement announced.
The parties signed a declaration of intent on Monday ending nine years of free trade talks between Beijing and Canberra. Australia agreed to reduce import tariffs on all goods from China to zero, while China pledged to make up to 95 percent of Australian imports tariff-free over the course of several years.
"More than 85 per cent of Australian goods exports will be tariff free upon entry into force, rising to 93 per cent in four years… On full implementation of ChAFTA, 95 per cent of Australian goods exports to China will be tariff-free," the announcement on Prime Minister Tony Abbott's page said.
This news item, filed from Moscow, appeared on the sputniknews.com Internet site at 1:45 p.m. on their Monday afternoon---and it's another offering from reader M.A. A similar story headlined "Australia and China seal bumper trade deal" showed up on the channelnewsasia.com Internet site at 2:20 p.m. Singapore time yesterday---and it's also courtesy of reader M.A.
Australian importers are in line for a windfall after Chinese President Xi Jinping used his visit to the country to anoint Sydney as a yuan trading center with the two nations completing a free-trade agreement.
The ability to exchange Australian dollars directly into yuan, rather than first converting them into the U.S. currency, will save companies as much as 7 percent on deals with China, according to HSBC Holdings Plc. Chinese investment into Australia has the potential to increase seven times to almost $300 billion by 2020 through the yuan hub and measures such as the trade accord, Westpac Banking Corp. estimates.
“We anticipate that we will see more financial activity in RMB as liquidity increases and the market embraces the benefits of dealing directly with a clearing bank in Sydney,” Rob Whitfield, chief executive at Westpac Institutional Bank, said in a statement today. “We are reaching a tipping point as customers across Asia, New Zealand and Australia are increasingly seeking more renminbi products and services.”
This news item appeared on the Bloomberg Internet site at 2:11 a.m. MST yesterday morning---and it's the second offering of the day from Howard Wiener.
Here’s the G20 in Australia in a one-liner: a tiny bunch of Anglo-Saxon political buffoons attempts to drown out the Global South.
Countries representing over 85 percent of the world economy get together to (in theory) discuss some really heavy economic/financial issues, and virtually the only thing pitiful Western corporate media blabbers about is Russian President Vladimir Putin cutting an ‘isolated figure’.
Well, Washington and its string of puppets did try to turn the G20 into a farce. Fortunately the adults in the room had some business to do.
The five BRICS member-nations – despite their current problems, the G5 that really matters in the world - did meet before the summit, including the ‘isolated figure’. Economically, this G5 more than matches the old, decrepit G7.
This absolute must read essay by Pepe showed up on the Russia Today website at 10:27 a.m. Moscow time on their Monday morning---2:27 a.m. EST. It's courtesy of Roy Stephens.
Japan's economy unexpectedly slipped into recession in the third quarter, setting the stage for Prime Minister Shinzo Abe to delay an unpopular sales tax hike and call a snap election two years before he has to go to the polls.
The recession comes nearly two years after Abe returned to power promising to revive the economy with his "Abenomics" mix of massive monetary stimulus, spending and reforms, and is unwelcome news for an already shaky global economy.
Gross domestic product (GDP) shrank by an annualised 1.6 percent in July-September, after plunging 7.3 percent in the second quarter following a rise in the national sales tax, which clobbered consumer spending.
The world's third-largest economy had been forecast to rebound by 2.1 percent, but consumption and exports remained weak, saddling companies with huge inventories to work off.
Hardly unexpected, dear reader. Jim Rickards was right again, as you can't solve a structural problem with money printing. This Reuters story was picked up the finance.yahoo.com Internet site in the wee hours of Monday morning EST---and it's the third and final offering of the day from Howard Wiener.
Gold, shares, and exchange-traded funds -- the European Central Bank (ECB) may turn to buying any or all of these in an attempt to boost inflation in the currency bloc.
Yves Mersch, a member of the ECB's executive board, said that the purchase of these assets was "theoretically" an option for the central bank, which earlier this year resolved to "take further unconventional measures to counteract a lengthy period of lower inflation."
His speech, delivered in German, came as official statistics published on Friday showed inflation of just 0.4 percent in the year to October.
The official said that while there was scope to buy such assets, the ECB is about to embark on a programme of asset-backed securities purchases.
Yep, that's what they have to do---and I've been saying it for years. They actually don't even have to buy the stuff, all they have to do is tell the BIS and JPMorgan et al to get their foot off the gold price---and commodity inflation will take care of itself in a New York minute. This very interesting article appeared on the telegraph.co.uk Internet site at 10:00 a.m. GMT yesterday---and I found it embedded in a GATA release. [Note: This story sports a revised headline. It now reads "ECB could buy gold to revive economy". Mustn't give too much away to the sheeple, now must they?
The Swiss National Bank's long transition from an independent holder and advocate of gold reserves to a mere branch of the U.S. Federal Reserve is described in today's commentary at GoldCore by the firm's market analyst, Ronan Manly, a GATA consultant.
I thank Chris Powell for wordsmithing the above paragraph of introduction. It was posted on both the goldcore.com and gata.org internet site on Friday---and I'm still trying to figure out how I missed it for my Saturday column. It's on the longish side, but definitely worth reading.
A full copy of last week's Deutsche Bank report on the Swiss Gold Initiative, provided by GATA consultant R.M., conveys these four major points:
1) Any gold purchases made by the Swiss National Bank pursuant to approval of the initiative in the referendum on November 30 are unlikely to have much impact on the gold market because the purchases would be small and made over time and because they likely would be accomplished outside the gold market and through central banks, which are always trading gold among themselves. (Secretly, of course, to facilitate their market interventions.)
2) The Swiss National Bank could evade the intent of the initiative by moving its reserves into a sovereign wealth fund, thereby diminishing the need for purchasing gold; by the bank's obtaining only gold derivatives rather than gold itself; or, more likely, by "window dressing," by the bank's obtaining gold only overnight at monthly reporting periods, using "gold swaps," which could be quickly reversed until the next reporting period.
(In an interview published today, the chairman of the Swiss National Bank said its creation of a sovereign wealth fund was "unthinkable" and that "the SNB cannot simply use some tricks to circumvent the will of the people. I rule that out categorically.")
The rest of Chris Powell's executive summary is contained in this GATA release from Sunday---and it's definitely worth reading if you have time, as it includes the 17-page pdf file from Deutsche Bank. I found it on the gata.org Internet site on Sunday.
The “Treasury Department” of the jihadist group that is now occupying large portions of Syria and Iraq announced Thursday that it plans to mint its own currency out of gold, silver and copper.
The goal: To break away from the “satanic usury-based global economic system” and instead use a currency that’s “based on the inherent value of the metals,” the group said in a statement that was distributed on Twitter, according to the SITE Intelligence Group, which monitors online jihadi forums.
Experts who track Islamic State militants and study Islamic finance say the move is part of the group’s ongoing effort to build a government and to reach its stated goal of creating a caliphate. It also comes as the U.S. Treasury Department mounts a global campaign to crack down on the group’s finances.
The gold coins will be called dinars. Some Islamic countries–including Iraq and Libya–call their modern paper currency the “dinar,” but gold dinars stamped with Arabic phrases can be traced back to a much-celebrated caliph named Abd al-Malik.
I've posted a couple of stories about this before, but this one showed up on The Wall Street Journal website of all places---and it's worth skimming.
Iranian state television is reporting that the country has inaugurated a new gold-processing plant that will double the country's annual production to 6 tonnes.
The report says First Vice President Ishaq Jahangiri attended the inauguration Saturday of the plant near Takab in northwestern Iran.
It says the new processing facility, built next to Iran's Zarshouran gold mine, also will produce an estimated 2.5 tonnes of silver and 1 ton of mercury a year.
State television says Iran previously produced an estimated 3 tonnes of gold a year.
This short AP story, filed from Tehran, appeared on the abcnews.go.com Internet site very early on Saturday morning EST---and it's another article I found on the gata.org Internet site.
Shoppers of gold and jewellery in the UAE have never been in need of a reason or an excuse to buy. There would always be an occasion coming along to indulge in purchases at various times through an year, and if any incentive was needed it would be provided by the generous seasonal promotions such as daily raffles and 1 kilogram of gold as takeaways.
But the ongoing softness in global gold prices is prompting more shoppers to snap up more of the metal in its various forms. According to estimates from the local jewellery trade, retail off take for the full year in the UAE could be up by 15-20 percent in volume terms (in kilograms) compared with 2013. If only the second half of the year is taken into account, which was when prices started to show real weakness, volume gains could even be in the 40-percent range.
“In markets such as the Gulf or India, the price of gold is no longer such a factor in determining customer buying,” said T.S. Kalyanasundaram, Chairman and Managing Director of Kalyan Jewellers, which is working its way towards a major expansion of its retail network in the Gulf.
This gold-related news item, filed from Dubai, showed up on the gulfnews.com Internet site at midnight Gulf Standard Time [GST] on their Sunday evening---4 p.m. in New York on Sunday afternoon. I found this in a GATA release as well.
Despite all efforts from the Indian government to curtail India’s demand for precious metals – for example a 10% import duty on both gold and silver, the Indian people continue to put their savings in a store of value they consider being prudent; precious metals.
By hiking the import duty on gold in 2013 from 4% to 10% and the implementation of the 80/20 rule importers were thwarted shipping in metal. In part because the importers needed to find out how to work through the new rules, which were deliberately setup to complicate the process.
Since 2014 India’s customs department, the DGCIS, discloses preliminary estimates on commodity trade data (only imports for precious metals). The latest data shows gross gold import in October jumped to 106 tonnes, up 13% m/m, up 260% y/y. 106 tonnes gross import is 1,271 tonnes annualized.
Year to date India has officially gross imported (ex smuggling) 597 tonnes of gold, down 21 % y/y, annualized 716 tonnes.
This must read story, which includes comments on their almost-record silver imports in October, showed up on the bullionstar.com Internet site on Monday sometime---and I found it in a GATA release as well.
The Reserve Bank of India is in talks with the government for a decision on increasing curbs on gold imports, RBI Deputy Governor S.S. Mundra said on Monday.
The RBI deputy also said attention needed to be paid to the surge in gold imports at a briefing with reporters in the capital.
October shipments to India, the world's No.2 gold consumer behind China, jumped to about 150 tonnes from less than 25 tonnes a year earlier and 143 tonnes in September, a finance ministry official said last week.
The above three paragraphs are all there is to this tiny Reuters story. It was posted on their Internet site at 4:19 a.m. EST yesterday morning---and it's another gold-related news item I found on the gata.org Internet site. [This story has a revised headline as well, as it now reads "India central bank deputy says talking to govt on increasing gold import curbs"]
Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s government has had a “remarkably impressive” effect on consumer confidence in buying gold since coming to power earlier this year, World Gold Council head of intelligence Alistair Hewitt said.
He expects this trend to continue given the improving Indian economy despite the Bharatiya Janata Party’s failure to lift restrictions aimed at curbing gold imports as had widely been expected, he told FastMarkets.
“One of the most striking features about the Indian gold market has been the economic confidence of Indian consumers,” Hewitt said. “[Indian buying] has been so important for the market for the last 20 years – I don’t see that changing any time soon.”
I found this gold-related story on the mineweb.com Internet site yesterday---and it's worth skimming.
Bullion Star market analyst Koos Jansen, a GATA consultant, reviews figures for gold exports to China on a nation-by-nation basis. He concludes that demand for gold in China remains strong and is running at more than twice the amount reported by the World Gold Council.
Jansen's commentary is headlined "Who's Feeding China's Gold Hunger?" and it's posted on the bullionstar.com Internet site on Saturday---and although it's on the longish side with lots of charts---it's worth wading through if you have the time.
Another very strong week for Chinese wholesale gold demand, measured by withdrawals from the Shanghai Gold Exchange. In week 45 (November 2 – 7) physical withdrawals from the vaults accounted for 54 tonnes. My basic equation tells me more than 40 tonnes had to be imported to meet this demand. Year to date 1,708 tonnes have been withdrawn from the vaults and this number will likely surpass 2,000 tonnes by year end as December and January are seasonally the strongest months.
This commentary is a must read, especially the embedded Bloomberg story about solar power and silver. This commentary by Koos was posted on the bullionstar.com Internet site yesterday---and it's another story from the gata.org website.
Gold production by U.S. Mines was 18,400 kilograms (591,573 troy ounces) in August this year, an 11% decline from the 20,700 kg (665,520 oz) of gold output reported in August 2013, the U.S. Geological Survey noted Monday in its Mineral Industry Surveys.
Average daily U.S. gold production for U.S. mines was 592 kg (19,033 oz) in August 2014, according to the USGS.
U.S. gold production for the first eight months of this year totaled 140,000 kg (4,501,104 oz). U.S. gold exports of gold ore and concentrates, doré and precipitates, and refined bullion totaled 291,000 kg (9,355,867 oz) during the same period, Geological Survey data revealed.
The country also imported a total of 210,000 kg (6,751,656 oz) of gold ore and concentrates, doré and precipitates, and refined bullion from January until August of this year.
The above four paragraphs are all there is to this brief news item that appeared on the mineweb.com Internet site in the wee hours of this morning.
Precious metals have had an especially tough go of it over the past month. Both gold and silver are back in price territory last seen in 2010.
Eric Sprott returns to the program to discuss the facts as we know them in this market, and what's likely to happen from here. Specifically, he explains the tremendous imbalance currently seen between global supply and demand for precious metals. In his view, prices will have to correct upwards -- prodigiously -- to bring the two back in alignment.
This 38:45 minute must listen audio interview put in an appearance on the peakprosperity.com website late on Sunday morning---and I thank reader U.D. for passing it around on Sunday evening.