August 06, 2009

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No sector of U.S. real estate has been spared from the wrath of the credit crisis. The USDA recently reported the national average price of farm real estate (includes land and buildings) declined 3.2 percent in 2009 from a year earlier.

While crop and real estate prices soared at the peak of the bubble, farm values were jumping on average by 13% per year.  But global demand for U.S. agriculture may not be enough to curb weak farm prices.

Following the “golden age of American agriculture,” nominal farmland prices fell from a 1920 high of $69 per acre to a Great Depression low of $30 per acre in 1933. Then again, following the inflationary commodity boom of the 1970s, the nominal per-acre price of farmland fell 27 percent from 1982 to 1987. It took until 1951 for nominal farmland prices to exceed the 1920 peak, and until 1995 for prices to rebound after the 1980s collapse.

Can demand for food from developing countries continue its rapid growth? Will inflationary forces on crop prices return in time to prevent another disaster for U.S. farmers?

These are difficult questions to answer… but ever-important ones for investors. Which is why Doug Casey keeps his top team of analysts working around the clock to uncover these and other key emerging trends – and the best ways to profit from them, of course.

Want to know about the next big trend that Casey Research’s Chief Economist Bud Conrad recently revealed? Click here to find out.

 
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